New Left and the Confederacy
In November, support for PiS sits at 29 percent, showing a comfortable lead in parliamentary preference. The rival Citizens’ Coalition draws 24 percent of potential voters, marking a solid second place in the polling landscape. A third bloc, Trzecia Droga, holds 13 percent of declared supporters, keeping the field competitive and reminding observers that coalition dynamics can shift quickly in Poland’s political scene. The Left and the Confederation each attract 8 percent of supporters, placing them in a tie for the next tier of party popularity. A small share, amounting to 5 percent of respondents, would cast a vote for a party other than the ones currently represented in parliament, emphasizing ongoing fragmentation and the presence of niche or emerging political identities. Notably, 13 percent of respondents stated they could not decide which party or group they would vote for, underscoring a persistent level of uncertainty among voters as elections approach.
The CBOS survey also reveals that a large portion of the population, 87 percent, expressed some form of party sympathy. If parliamentary elections and the Senate race were held next Sunday, a significant segment of the electorate indicated they would participate, reflecting a high engagement sentiment even in a dynamic political environment. These figures illustrate the volatility and the potential for last-minute shifts as campaigns heat up and party messages reach different voter segments.
The survey was conducted using computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) between November 20 and 24, 2023, surveying a representative sample of 1,000 adult residents of Poland. The methodology emphasizes standardized question delivery and rapid data collection, enabling researchers to capture timely sentiment across demographic groups while maintaining statistical reliability. These details help explain the confidence placed in the reported percentages as a snapshot of public opinion during late November.
For readers seeking broader context, recent analyses highlight how these numbers interact with regional trends, party branding, and leadership perception. In particular, shifts in support for PiS or KO can reflect responses to current events, policy proposals, and debates that resonate with different voter blocs. Analysts often watch how the 13 percent who remain undecided or undecided voters split their preferences as campaigns unfold, since even small realignments can reshape the final electoral landscape. Marked citations accompany these observations to attribute the data responsibly to the original polls and statistical summaries. These references help readers verify methodology and understand how weightings and sampling frames influence reported outcomes. [Cited: wPolityce]
Overall, the November polling landscape shows PiS maintaining a lead with a notable margin over KO, while Trzecia Droga and the other parties vie for influence within a crowded field. The persistence of undecided voters and the sizable share open to minor parties suggest that any campaign strategy aiming to convert those potential votes must carefully address core concerns, messaging clarity, and perceived competence. The data emphasize the importance of understanding voter priorities in the weeks ahead and remind readers that election results can hinge on late-breaking developments and targeted outreach efforts. [Cited: wPolityce]
Source notes: the figures cited reflect the poll conducted by CBOS on the specified dates using CATI methodology with a sample of 1,000 adult residents of Poland, and the interpretation provided above draws on the published summary and related analyses. Readers are encouraged to consider how sample design, question framing, and timing may influence the observed percentages. [Cited: wPolityce]