“According to statements before the elections, PiS can count on obtaining the largest number of votes in the elections. 35% of the people are willing to vote for this electoral committee. declared voters. KO plans to support 22 percent. voters,” according to a new CBOS study.
Since September, the percentage of people who have not yet decided who to vote for has fallen from 23%. Compared to the September survey, the Civic Coalition (up 4 percentage points in support) and Trzecia Droga (up 2 points) have won. The viewing figures of Law and Justice and Konfederacja are slightly worse (one point lower). Support for the New Left has not changed since last month.
According to statements before the elections, Law and Justice can still count on obtaining the largest number of votes in the elections. 35% of the people are willing to vote for this election committee. declared voters. The Civic Coalition has significantly fewer supporters; 22 percent plan to support her. potential voters.
The ratings of the other groups are considerably lower. 6% of people want to vote for the Third Way. elections. The same number (6%) chose the Confederacy. 5% want to support the left. to indicate their participation in the vote. Significantly fewer people (2%) said they would vote for the non-partisan local government election committee.
High attendance
A large proportion of potential election participants have not indicated their electoral preference. In addition to the undecided (17%), a large group includes those who refuse to reveal their preferences (7%).
The October survey also asked undecideds which electoral commission(s) they were considering. The respondents’ statements show that the Civic Coalition (16 percent of undecided people are considering supporting it) and Trzecia Droga (15 percent) have the greatest potential when it comes to expanding the group of voters. Law and Justice (12%) and the Confederacy (10%) can make gains to a lesser extent. Even fewer people chose the New Left (7%) and the Impartial Local Government Party (4%).
The study authors also indicate that pre-election statements predict record high turnout. As many as 87% of people currently indicate that they are willing to participate in the upcoming parliamentary elections. respondents, 4 percentage points more than in September and 7 points more than in August.
The study was conducted as part of the mixed procedure on a representative sample of adult Polish residents drawn from the PESEL register. The survey was conducted from October 2 to October 11, 2023 on a sample of 1,110 people (including: 61.5 percent using the CAPI method, 25.0 percent – CATI and 13.4 percent – CAWI).
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edy/PAP
Source: wPolityce