New polling on the Polish political landscape, commissioned by the Social Changes studio for the portal wPolityce.pl, confirms the United Right as the leading bloc in the current electoral climate. The ruling coalition is assigned a single support point, arriving at an encouraging level that matches the Civic Coalition. The Confederation shows a decline, while five parliamentary groups are projected to win seats in the Sejm, including the Third Way. Additionally, for the first time, nonpartisan local government officials are being included in the voting lists and will be visible on ballots as part of this wave.
The United Right is backed by 39 percent of respondents in this wave, marking an uptick of one percentage point from the prior survey round. This signals sustained strength among the ruling coalition in national sentiment, even amid competitive pressure from rivals and shifting voter priorities.
The Civic Coalition garners 32 percent support, which also reflects a one-point gain. Support for this alliance remains solid, indicating continued appeal among voters seeking a more centrist or reform-oriented alternative to the governing bloc.
Among other groups, the Confederation attracts 10 percent of voters, a drop of two percentage points from the previous measurement. The shift suggests that a portion of its base may be re-evaluating the party or migrating toward other options as party platforms and public messaging evolve.
The Third Way, consisting of a common list formed by PSL and Poland 2050, commands 9 percent of the electorate. This indicates a notable presence for a centrist-to-center-right coalition seeking to bridge gaps between established blocs.
The Left records 7 percent support, down by one point. While still a meaningful presence in national politics, this movement faces headwinds that could influence its strategy in upcoming weeks and across different regions.
Nonpartisan Local Government Officials receive 2 percent, reflecting their limited but persistent influence in local and national discourse as voters weigh governance experience against other policy pathways.
In a separate analysis that maintains measurement continuity by treating PSL and Poland 2050 as distinct entities, the vote distribution is outlined as follows: the overall explanatory frequency totals reach 68 percent, which is one point higher than in the last round of data collection. This variant of the survey helps illuminate how voters differentiate between these two groups in practice and whether their individual trajectories diverge over time.
For readers looking for more context, the study invites consideration of whether the United Right, the Confederation, and Poland 2050 would participate in a referendum and how those votes might translate into broader constitutional or policy questions. The framing of these questions provides a lens to assess how party loyalties align with specific civic choices beyond standard electoral races.
The survey was conducted from September 8 to 11, 2023, employing the CAWI method (Computer Assisted Web Interview) on an online panel designed to reflect national demographics in terms of gender, age, and urban/rural distribution. A total of 1,038 individuals participated in the study, offering a snapshot of voting intentions during that period. This approach ensures that the sample mirrors the country’s diversity, strengthening the relevance of the results for national and regional analyses.
Source: wPolityce