Election Poll Snapshot: Shifts in Polish Party Support and Coalition Prospects

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The latest findings from the studio and the portal wPolityce.pl reveal steady audience attention for Law and Justice, with the Civic Coalition holding a light edge. Even after a setback, Confederation remains a podium contender. Poland 2050 appears to be underperforming compared with other groups.

Across the surveyed electorate, the United Law party leads with 38 percent support, a figure that remains unchanged from the prior wave of the survey. This stability suggests persistent enthusiasm for the party among voters, even as other shifts occur in the political landscape.

Support for the Civil Coalition sits at 30 percent, marking a one point uptick from the last measure. This modest gain signals a growing preference within a portion of the electorate for a coalition that emphasizes reform and coalition governance.

Confederation holds 10 percent support, slipping by one point. While the decline is small, it underscores the challenges the party faces in maintaining momentum amid a crowded field of options.

The Left remains at 8 percent, showing no change from the previous result. This stability indicates a consistent but relatively small share within the national electorate for left leaning platforms.

Poland 2050 remains at a low level, registering 6 percent support. The movement continues to struggle to convert awareness into broader electoral backing.

The Polish People’s Party maintains its position at 5 percent, reflecting a steady but modest following among voters who may prefer traditional rural and agrarian policy platforms.

Kukiz’15 keeps its support at 1 percent, a minimal share that suggests limited appeal outside its core niche.

Agreement continues to hover around zero, unable to translate into meaningful electoral impact.

In this survey, voters were also asked about the joint option of Poland 2050 and the Polish People’s Party, a coalition sometimes referred to as Third Way. The result for this combined slate is a cautious 9 percent, which experts might interpret as a moderate level of cross-party interest but not yet a decisive breakthrough. In this scenario, Agreement remains at 2 percent support, underscoring how some voters may prefer more established or different coalition choices.

Frequency counts show 63 percent of respondents as explained, rising by two percentage points from the prior wave. This change points to shifts in how voters understand and articulate their preferences when asked about party alignments in this political environment.

The CAWI method, standing for Computer Assisted Web Interview, was used to conduct the research from May 26 to 29, 2023. The panel was online and nationwide, designed to be representative in terms of gender, age, and urban or rural residence. A total of 1038 individuals participated in the study, contributing to the statistically relevant picture of current electoral attitudes.

The data presented here reflects the evolving dynamics of political support across the country, offering a snapshot of where major parties stand and how potential coalitions might shape future competition.

Source: wPolityce

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