The results for KO and PiS stay the same
A recent CBOS poll tracks party support in Poland with consistent figures for the two largest groups. In the same snapshot as the end of January, the Civic Coalition (KO) sits at 29 percent among potential voters, while the Law and Justice party (PiS) remains at 24 percent. A notable share of respondents, 15 percent, report that they have not yet decided who they would vote for. The poll also indicates a portion of the population that is unsure or undecided about their vote choice.
CBOS conducted its latest survey between February 12 and 15, and the results were released on a Friday. The data show a growing willingness to participate in parliamentary elections, with 82 percent of respondents expressing an intention to vote, marking a rise of three percentage points from the previous survey conducted in late January. This uptick suggests a climate of active engagement among voters, even as the exact ballot outcome remains stable for the top contenders.
Specifically, 29 percent of those polled indicated they would back the Civic Coalition candidate in the Sejm elections, mirroring the support seen in the prior survey. PiS maintained second place with 24 percent backing, matching the level observed in the previous measurement as well. The steadiness at the top two camps stands out amid shifting dynamics in other parts of the spectrum.
Declining support for the Third Way
The Third Way, a coalition formed by Polska 2050 and PSL, held 11 percent in this round, which is three percentage points lower than the end-of-January reading. The Confederation also registered 11 percent, showing little change from January. The left-leaning bloc stood at 8 percent, down by one point from the prior period. Other groups drew 2 percent, while 3 percentage points fewer respondents than in January said they might vote for an alternative party.
A notable share, 15 percent, said it was difficult to say how they would vote, reflecting ongoing uncertainty among a portion of the electorate. This sentiment rose by six points compared with the January figure, underscoring a segment of voters who remain on the fence as the political landscape evolves.
The CBOS survey on party preferences was conducted through computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) with a sample of 1,000 adult residents of Poland, collected between February 12 and 15, 2024. The methodology aimed to capture a representative cross-section of the population and track shifts in party support across the political spectrum over time.
Attribution: wPolityce