The latest survey on political party support, carried out by the Social Changes studio for the wPolityce.pl portal, shows a clear strength for the United Right. The left appears to be gaining ground on stage, while Confederation, despite media chatter, posts a comparatively modest result.
Within the poll, respondents who expressed a willingness to vote for Law and Justice stood at 39 percent, a figure that matches the previous wave of this survey. This stability signals a solid core of support that Nationalists and conservatives have maintained in the electorate across consecutive cycles.
Support for the Civic Coalition sits at 28 percent among those surveyed, also unchanged from the prior iteration. This consistency suggests a steady base for the centrist and pro-European bloc, even as political dynamics shift in other segments of the spectrum.
Support for the Left rose to 10 percent, reflecting a one-point gain. This uptick points to a modest reallocation of votes toward left-identified options, potentially influenced by domestic issues, candidate profiles, or shifts in public sentiment regarding social and economic policy.
Confederation attracts 7 percent, down by one percentage point from the previous measurement. The decline may indicate volatility in far-right, nationalist-leaning loyalties or a reaction to contemporary campaign messaging as the public weighs policy proposals against broader national concerns.
Poland 2050 also registered 7 percent support, representing a one-point decrease. The movement could reflect voters re-evaluating the party’s platform, leadership decisions, or performance on issues of governance and stability in the current political climate.
The Polish People’s Party remains at 5 percent support with no change. This steadiness suggests a reliable, though relatively narrow, appeal among voters favoring agrarian and centrist positions that emphasize rural interests and pragmatic policy solutions.
Kukiz’15 sits at 2 percent, rising by one percentage point. The shift could be tied to local personalities or a rebranding effort aimed at capturing disaffected voters who seek straightforward, populist messaging without detours into broader ideological debates.
Agreement continues with essentially zero measurable support in this wave, indicating limited resonance with the party’s current platform or messaging among the national electorate at this time.
The overall distribution shows that a sizable portion of respondents expressed no strong preference or did not reveal a vote intention in this cycle. Such a high level of undecided or abstaining respondents can be pivotal in shaping final outcomes, especially as campaigns intensify and new issues emerge on the political stage.
Methodological notes about the study are essential for interpreting these results. The research employed the CAWI method, which stands for Computer Assisted Web Interview, a technique that enables nationwide, online polling with respondent-driven inputs. The fieldwork spanned from April 14 to 17, 2023, and involved a representative sample of Poland in terms of gender, age, and urban-rural distribution. The total sample consisted of 1036 respondents who participated in the study, offering a snapshot of national sentiment across diverse demographic groups.
These figures illuminate the current electoral landscape and the relative footing of major political formations. They also highlight the persistence or drift within voter blocs, reflecting how campaigns, candidate choices, and policy promises influence widely differing segments of the electorate. Such data can guide party strategists, analysts, and observers seeking to understand longitudinal trends in party allegiance and the potential for shifts as political discourse evolves.
In considering the broader implications, observers might note that a resilient backing for Law and Justice could indicate entrenched support for conservative governance features, including security, judicial alignment, and economic policy preferences. The Civic Coalition’s stable share points to continued appetite for pro-European, centrist to center-left policy discussions, while the gradual movement of smaller parties indicates an electoral market that remains fluid and receptive to new messages or leadership styles. The slight rise for Kukiz’15 and the marginal fall for both Confederation and Poland 2050 suggest that voters are testing different voices and proposals, weighing practical governance against ideological positions as the political calendar advances. These dynamics are part of a broader pattern in which the electorate continually recalibrates its preferences in response to contemporary events, leadership performance, and the perceived effectiveness of policy proposals in everyday life.
Overall, the study contributes a nuanced picture of political leanings within Poland, offering a baseline for tracking shifts over time and for interpreting the impact of forthcoming campaigns on voter intentions. The combination of stable and shifting elements across parties underscores a political environment where momentum can emerge quickly, but where existing support bases remain influential anchors for many voters. The results emphasize the importance of clear messaging, credible policy platforms, and responsive campaigning as parties seek to convert abstract support into tangible electoral outcomes. The ongoing dialogue among parties and voters will continue to shape the trajectory of Poland’s political landscape in the months ahead, with polls playing a key role in framing expectations and guiding strategic decisions. (Cited from the CAWI survey data and its methodological notes.)
Note: The results presented here are based on the described CAWI poll and are attributed to the wPolityce platform as the data source for this wave of the study.