If the parliamentary elections were to take place in the first half of April, 35 percent of respondents would vote for KO; 23 percent – for PiS, 14 percent for the Confederation, 10 percent to the Third Way, and 5 percent to the left – according to a CBOS survey.
According to the survey, 83% of people stated their willingness to participate in the elections. respondents.
The first telephone survey of April was conducted immediately after the election campaign and after the day of the local government elections, when first the exit poll result and then the election result were already known to respondents.
– noted CBOS.
According to the research, the Civic Coalition would win if the parliamentary elections were held in the first half of April; 35% stated that they were willing to vote for KO. respondents. As the pollster noted, compared to the results of the second half of March, support for KO increased by 6 percentage points.
In second place, according to the survey, would be Law and Justice, for which 23 percent would like to vote. respondents who declare themselves willing to participate in the elections. This represents a decrease of 1 percentage point compared to the March survey.
According to the survey, the third position would be occupied by Konfederacja WiN, for which 14 percent would like to vote. declared voters (1 point more than in the second half of March).
The survey also shows that the level of support for the Third Way has remained unchanged over the past two weeks, with 10% of voters willing to vote for it. respondents (increase by 1 percentage point).
Support for the left in the survey was 5%, which represents a decrease of 3 percentage points.
In total, support for the entire coalition increased by 4 percentage points after the October 15 local elections. At the same time, in April the distance between the leader and the number two in the popularity rankings of our political parties increased significantly
– noted CBOS.
Greater mobilization
The pollster also highlighted that – as usual in the election period – greater mobilization and greater decision-making can be observed among voters who are unsure who to vote for.
The percentage of ‘hard to say’ answers has fallen by as much as 6 percentage points in the past two weeks, from 17 to 11 percent.
– emphasized.
According to CBOS, “we can therefore surmise that the ruling coalition’s ratings increase was mainly due to winning the favor of some undecided voters.”
The study “Local government and European elections” was conducted using computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) in the period from April 8 to 11, 2024 on a sample of adult residents of Poland (N=1000).
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mly/PAP
Source: wPolityce