Poll Insights: Hołownia More Recognizable, Kosiniak-Kamysz With Opposition Backing

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Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz trails Szymon Hołownia in both recognition and backing among voters who support the ruling coalition, according to a recent survey. The polling finds that Hołownia is more familiar to coalition voters, while Kosiniak-Kamysz enjoys somewhat stronger support among PiS and Confederation supporters. The difference is clear yet nuanced: exposure and alignment with governing groups influence how each leader is perceived across the political spectrum.

Across the entire electorate, Hołownia is widely recognizable, with 97 percent of respondents saying they know him. Kosiniak-Kamysz is known by 93 percent. In terms of positive sentiment, 49 percent rate Hołownia favorably, while 41 percent hold a positive view of Kosiniak-Kamysz. On the flip side, 48 percent express a negative view of Hołownia and 52 percent view Kosiniak-Kamysz negatively. The numbers underscore how recognition does not always align with likability, and how voters differentiate between knowing a leader and feeling positively about their leadership style or policies.

The poll shows that Hołownia enjoys greater backing among voters of the governing coalition. About 93 percent of Third Way supporters express a positive view of him, 74 percent of Civic Coalition supporters do the same, and 59 percent of New Left backers share a favorable opinion. Kosiniak-Kamysz, by comparison, is viewed positively by 78 percent of Third Way voters, 57 percent of Civic Coalition supporters, and 37 percent of New Left voters. These distinctions reveal how party loyalty and the political landscape shape perceptions of leadership and potential cross-coalition appeal.

The PSL chief is more popular among opposition voters

Among voters aligned with opposition forces, Kosiniak-Kamysz earns more positive opinions than Hołownia. He is viewed favorably by 30 percent of Confederation voters and 23 percent of PiS supporters. Hołownia, in contrast, draws sympathetic responses from 26 percent of Confederation voters and 18 percent of PiS supporters. The contrast highlights how different opposition blocs respond to each figure, reflecting the broad spectrum of attitudes that exist beyond the governing coalition.

This year the survey was conducted in mid-November using a mixed mode approach that combined telephone interviews and online responses, drawing on a nationwide sample of 1,000 Polish adults aged 18 and over. The method captures a cross-section of the population, providing a snapshot of current sentiment across demographic and regional lines, without over-relying on any single data collection channel.

In interpreting these results, it becomes evident that broad name recognition coexists with a wide range of evaluations. Recognition alone does not guarantee positive sentiment, and the degree of enthusiasm for each leader shifts noticeably when broken down by party support. The data illustrate how political behavior, party loyalty, and messaging can influence how voters perceive candidates who are prominent on the national stage. The dynamics also suggest that changes in party coalitions or policy focus could alter both recognition and sentiment in the months ahead.

Overall, the findings offer a nuanced picture for analysts and observers tracking political sentiment. They underscore the importance of considering both visibility and the quality of attendee sentiment when assessing potential electoral momentum. While Hołownia shows stronger recognition and coalition-oriented backing, Kosiniak-Kamysz remains a meaningful figure with notable appeal among opposition voters, suggesting a complex landscape where leadership perceptions are shaped by both affiliation and individual resonance.

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