Poll Dynamics in Poland: KO Leads PiS as Confederacy Grows

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If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, 56.4 percent of voters would participate, according to a United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska conducted at the end of June among 1,000 respondents. In this hypothetical ballot, 34.4 percent would back KO and 33.7 percent would back PiS. The findings place KO narrowly ahead of PiS in the current snapshot, signaling a shift from the prior week when PiS led by a small margin.

The survey question asked participants how they would vote in the Sejm elections if the current list of parties remained the same. The results show KO at 34.4 percent and PiS at 33.7 percent. In the immediate prelude to the European Parliament elections, PiS led with 31.7 percent, while KO trailed at 31.1 percent. The latest data indicate gains for both major parties, with KO increasing its share enough to assume the top position in this poll.

Good result for the Confederacy

In the same WP survey, Konfederacja captured 11.9 percent of the vote, up two percentage points from the June 7 poll. This progress places Konfederacja ahead of Trzecia Droga, which stood at 10.8 percent, rising by 2.8 points since the previous survey. The left bloc received 6.2 percent of the vote, a decline of 1.6 points. Other parties registered 0.5 percent, while about 2.5 percent of respondents described themselves as undecided or still deciding how to vote.

Analysts note that the shifts reflect a volatile electorate and emphasize the importance of how campaign dynamics and policy positions resonate with voters across different regions. The poll coverage underscores how party fortunes can change quickly in the runup to elections, with the slate of parties showing varying degrees of momentum and appeal in a population weighing economic, social, and governance concerns.

Further discussion is underway regarding the potential pathways to forming a government, the durability of current polling positions, and how voter preferences could evolve as more information becomes available. The data contribute to a broader picture of the political landscape as parties respond to contemporary issues and voter priorities in the period leading to the vote.

Note: The figures reflect stated voting intentions in a controlled survey context and do not constitute final election results. They illustrate relative standing among the parties at the time of the survey and are subject to change with new information, events, and campaigning efforts.

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