Strategic mobilization aims in Polish political landscape
A senior analyst from the government’s policy center, Professor Norbert Maliszewski, indicated that energizing passive and undecided voters could shape the chances for a possible third term. He noted that Donald Tusk’s approach may be scrutinized in the autumn and could generate additional backing for the United Right coalition if such scrutiny resonates with voters.
The head of the government’s analysis center, Norbert Maliszewski, spoke with TV Republika on a Wednesday, stating that the upcoming campaign would be marked by intense emotions, a strong contest, and a vivid debate over policy priorities.
Chance of a third term
The assessment suggested that a breakthrough would be plausible if the Third Way party fails to cross the electoral threshold and supporter turnout among passive or undecided voters remains weak. In such a scenario, a real chance for a third term could emerge.
Maliszewski explained that undecided and passive segments of the electorate may be swayed by Donald Tusk’s stance on emigration and related concerns. He asserted that a convincing argument could persuade these voters to cast ballots for the United Right in the scheduled October 15 election.
He also recalled lessons from the 2007 campaign, noting a similar pattern where opposition messaging relied on negative bargaining. When voters were asked why they supported the opposing party, many cited an anti-government sentiment rather than a direct agreement with the program.
According to Maliszewski, the United Right intends to present a program anchored in core values while avoiding aggressive mobilization of opponents. He suggested that Donald Tusk has repeatedly used social engineering tactics rooted in emotions, aiming to foster aversion toward the governing coalition. In his view, those techniques have persisted for years as a political strategy.
When Tusk warned about the potential for higher energy and fuel costs, the government responded by demonstrating that such projections were unfounded. The same pattern played out earlier in the spring, with the government showing resilience against inflationary narratives. Looking ahead to autumn, Maliszewski argued that inflation would trend downward, contributing to a sense of stability among households.
The focus extended to border security, where he emphasized the importance of maintaining solid control and predictable policy direction as a factor in voter confidence.
Safety guarantee
The administration framed its position around security guarantees, asserting that any fraud or manipulation would be thoroughly examined in the fall. This stance, he argued, could translate into incremental political support for the governing coalition if the electorate perceives a dependable and transparent approach to governance.
Despite current polling showing no clear majority, Maliszewski described the scenario as realistic given the electoral dynamics and voter sentiment. He urged supporters to stay unified and to maintain confidence in their path to victory.
In closing, the official called for disciplined collaboration among supporters and a shared belief in success, underscoring that collective effort remains essential in any competitive political contest.