Economy by crystal ball

At the beginning of the year, all the media are sifting through their diaries to find “guessers” – gentlemen, ladies and gentlemen, who do not analyze whether you are pregnant in this situation, but have a bit of a load and dream. what the exercise will bring to the regional economy or companies. Since I’ve had to make predictions for my “gentlemen” many times, I can assure you I know what I’m talking about and how these things are done; Unlimited doses of imagination accompanied by the government and the topics we all deal with depending on our interests: the famous rediscovery of our companies, the entrepreneurial spirit, the countryside as a mosaic of industries and so on.

The advantage is that at the end of the year no one remembers some of their predictions, and more importantly: no one cares. You’d be surprised how many miss more than a fair shotgun, and that the few that succeed are often the product of luck or the immutable law that even a stopped clock shows the correct time twice a day.

This year I’m afraid I have no one to shut my mouth to, so I’m mono so I’ll have to sign them myself. Valenzuela always used to say to me: “How comfortable is your job, you send me to war and you stay behind while they crush me” but that’s life, what can we do.

We started this 23 with the problems of the 22: inflation, rising prices, Putin’s open war, China’s transportation, logistics and raw material prices, the underground war on unleashed gas and fuel prices… come on, heaven on earth.

What do we have in return? We’re still alive, that’s not a bad thing. They broke all games and we continue to produce, sell and buy. Many of them are on the way, there is a prayer in their memories, but most of them continue even though we don’t know how. And beware, this has made others very rich, because there’s nothing like crisis or war to make a fortune (slave and drug sales as well, but now what Argentines call sectors of the Economy).

Fortunately, we have a social shield that prevents the marginalized in Europe from falling into the pit and despair, which are the pillars of the revolutions. It is true that the majority of wage earners are much poorer, because while prices were up, wages were down. But for now we are here and I have never seen restaurants in Madrid as crowded as this Christmas.

As with everything, there are dissatisfactions. For example, politicians who think that economic drama will take them to the seat of command in the stench of the crowd (or praise, I don’t know what’s right anymore but the crowd stinks, it’s undeniable). . I totally understand you: preaching disaster and not happening is a hindrance. Telling the poor little monster, who is rolling under the blankets with Little Red Riding Hood, who is unaware of the shepherd, that the wolf has arrived, means that the on-duty Pedro finally got more angry than a monkey because his calls to the wolf mean nothing. effect and the villagers carry their cries for help up to their noses.

I will make a guess. We will recover on the 23rd, inflation will fall, prices will hit bottom, mortgages will soften, consumers will consume, producers will produce and those who live on fairy tales will continue to do their job. My proven Titanic theory in the 20s: F***** brothers, The world is coming to an end!

Classical economics says that economic growth depends on social and political stability, low-priced raw materials and cheap fuels. You see, on the contrary, we add a global plague, a war close to home and the worst political rulers, as well as a wave of populism and unsavory social networks.

I undoubtedly have the wrong idea that we are in a time of economic change where what a company produces is not as important as it is innovative. The quality is very good, which is undoubtedly a plus, but getting ahead of the competition with something with a “wow, how cool” component will be the key to the case. And to think that living in Stockholm is no more important than Cuatretondeta. I like the idea that the disruptor will be the hallmark of the future.

And if you make screws, don’t let go, we won’t have to assemble Ikea furniture with Imedio glue.