Spain faces an unusually cool and wet close to May, with conditions expected to persist for a few more days. For the final days of May and the early days of June (May 29 to June 4), the State Meteorological Service, Aemet, highlights a weekend-like pattern of atmospheric instability. This means frequent, locally strong downpours and thunderstorms across both the Peninsular and Balearic Islands throughout the week. Inland precipitation is forecast to be heavier in the afternoons, with possible rain also in the southwest parts of the peninsula. Aemet notes that the trend will favor afternoon showers inland and occasional rain in the southwest across the region.
The question on many minds is how June will unfold. Several meteorologists indicate that June may be a touch wetter and cooler than usual in much of Spain as summer officially arrives. Meteorologist Mar Gómez, speaking on eltiempo.es, notes that June could begin with above-average precipitation nationwide, especially over the Mediterranean slope during the first two weeks. As the month progresses, rainfall is expected to remain above normal in several areas. A comparison with last year’s climate shows June 2022 as exceptionally hot, but this June is anticipated to diverge from that pattern, bringing cooler and wetter conditions in parts of the country.
A note accompanying the forecast suggests that June will likely depart from last year’s hot conditions, with a wetter start and a gradual return to typical summer patterns as the month unfolds. The analysis from Meteored supports this view, with Samuel Biener indicating that temperatures are expected to stay below the seasonal average in the coming weeks, particularly inland. Maps project a first half of the month siting 3 to 6 degrees Celsius below average in northern Andalusia, Castilla-La Mancha, the Community of Madrid, and southern Castilla y León. Biener adds that the second half of the month should see a return to normal temperatures.
Rainfall is also projected to appear intermittently in early June, contributing to a generally unstable outlook for the month, with precipitation above the national average across much of the country while the Canary Islands may experience relatively drier conditions. Looking ahead to the summer period, weather experts including Mar Gómez, Roberto Brasero, and Mario Picazo anticipate a summer that could be a touch rainier than usual. Forecasts point to modestly higher-than-average precipitation across the Mediterranean and Canary Islands during June through August.
In summary, the coming weeks in Spain are expected to remain unsettled, with cooler-than-normal temperatures in many inland areas and a tendency toward above-average rainfall in the early part of June. As the interior cools, the coastal regions along the Mediterranean may experience a mix of sunshine and passing showers, with longer dry spells possible in the Canary Islands. These projections come from multiple expert sources and weather models tracked by major agencies and portals.
Note: Official weather outlooks will continue to be updated as new data becomes available.
Sources: Aemet and Meteored expert consultations and published forecasts. [Source attribution: Aemet; Meteored]