Spain is seeing a late-March period marked by warmer-than-usual days and notably drier conditions across much of the country. In the days ahead, a cooling trend is expected, but the level of change will vary by region.
Rubén del Campo, a spokesperson for the State Meteorological Agency, notes that temperatures should ease gradually nationwide, with the exception of the Mediterranean coast where a pronounced rise could push daytime highs to the upper 20s or even into the low 30s Celsius in parts of the Valencian Community and the Region of Murcia. This regional pattern reflects typical spring contrasts: inland and northern areas cool while southern coastal zones experience warmer spells. The agency’s briefings and press updates consistently reflect this regional variability (AEMET attribution).
Looking toward Holy Week, a familiar holiday period for many, the AEMET forecast is clear: Holy Week is expected to be warmer and drier than average in most areas of the country, according to the agency’s public updates (AEMET attribution).
The center of the forecast points to a week warmer than normal with reduced rainfall, though conditions could differ in the northwest, the Cantabrian coast, and the Pyrenees. Easter Week is projected to be warmer and drier across much of Spain, aligning with seasonal forecasts issued by AEMET (AEMET attribution).
AEMET updates and social posts from late March 2023 highlighted the warmth and the generally dry pattern across much of Spain, with regional nuances noted by meteorologists (AEMET attribution).
forecast for this weekend
The fire risk remains high in the coming days. AEMET officials warn of a very high fire risk in Mediterranean regions during periods of high temperatures, low humidity, and strong winds. These conditions, especially on Thursday and Friday, combine three key factors and raise fire danger in affected zones (AEMET attribution).
In other parts of the country, Friday is expected to be slightly cloudy, with more clouds and occasional rain in Galicia and other high-north zones. Temperatures are still forecast to run 5 to 10 degrees above the spring average in most of Spain, according to Del Campo’s assessment (AEMET attribution).
Rainfall on Friday will be limited to Galicia, the Cantabrian Sea, the Pyrenees, and the northern Iberian system. Elsewhere, expect light showers in spots, with generally overcast skies and westerly winds helping to lower temperatures across the peninsula, except along the Mediterranean coast where warmth will persist (AEMET attribution).
In the Mediterranean region and southern Andalusia, temperatures will again exceed 30 or even 32 degrees, keeping fire risk very high or extreme in these zones. Local authorities emphasize vigilance and adherence to any fire restrictions during these peak heat days (AEMET attribution).
A cold air mass is forecast to arrive over the weekend as winds shift to the northwest. The spokesman therefore concluded that the drop in temperatures will help bring some normalization, with values potentially falling as much as 10 degrees on Saturday compared with Friday’s readings (AEMET attribution).
Note: information is sourced from the national meteorological service and tracking updates issued for the period covered, with ongoing monitoring and regional advisories issued as conditions evolve (AEMET attribution).