Poland faces four more years of anti-European radicalism or liberal ‘relaxation’ dilemma

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Approximately 30 million people have the right to vote Poland They will be called to the polls this Sunday. Whether this partner European Union (EU) And NATO dominate ultra-conservative Law and Justice (PiS) or that liberalism took a turn towards Europeanism through the return to the Warsaw Government. Donald Tusk. After being in power for eight consecutive years, PiS has included the referendum on the day, aiming to legitimize its rejection of the bill. immigration policy of the EU. These are some of them keys from the choices:

1. Liberal Tusk is the only alternative to PiS’ third term

Former Polish prime minister and former president of the European Council Donald Tusk is returning to national politics as the only candidate with the option of overthrowing parliament. peeleading party Jaroslaw Kaczynskiprime minister’s, Mateusz Morawieckiand that of the president of the country, Andrzej Duda. Her Civil Platform (PO) is five points behind PiS in the polls, where the governing party has reached 35%. According to PiS, his opponents accuse him of destroying the Army while in government and of being a puppet of Brussels and Berlin, the two biggest enemies of Polish interests. This is the hope of change and it will even receive support. leftDespite being a political ally of the ‘godfather’ of European right-wing, the Germans are out to win Manfred Weber.

2. Denial of the right to asylum by referendum

The ruling PiS, supported by other right-wing minority formations, constant conflict To the EU. Brussels has also systematically responded with dossiers and warnings against initiatives that violate fundamental rights, freedom of the press or collective freedom. LGTBI. The hardest bone has been a reform in the judicial power that undermines the judiciary. independence of justicefollowed by the rejection of successive commitments in immigration policy. Last chapter on the subject asylum The reform proposed by the EU is the announced blockade shared with Hungary. One of the questions in the popular consultations held in parallel with the elections is very clear: “Do you support the acceptance of thousands of refugees from the Middle East and Africa due to the displacement formula imposed by the European bureaucracy?” Tusk’s victory will not solve the disagreements, as he also opposes the EU plan, but it will pave the way for rapprochement.

3. Abortion is effectively banned in Catholic Poland

law abortion current implies its application Forbidden. In 2021, even severe fetal malformation has been eliminated as one of the few ways to legally access voluntary termination of pregnancy. Poland is considered the most Catholic Not only because 92% of Europe’s population professes this religion, but also because 37% say they practice this religion and regularly attend Sunday mass. Despite this, PiS’s hardline anti-abortion line took action mass protest marchesFollowing the deaths of many women, the legal right to abortion was denied or blocked. “Poland is a dangerous country for women. When we go to a medical center for an abortion, we live in fear of dying,” says pro-abortion activist Dagmara Adamiak. #antyPiS. For this move, Tusk hopes to ease the current rigidity.

4. Can you be more ultra than PiS?

Kaczynski’s PiS is a brother in the family of European right-wing populism. Vox ‘Fratelli’ of the Spanish and Italian Prime Minister, Giorgia MelonHey. Share the conversation with them Group of European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR). But right-wing radicalism may always have an even more extreme rival. This situation Confederationa party that brings together Neo-Nazis, pro-Russians and also called libertarians. one of his figures Slavomir MentzenHe attracts the votes of other Poles with his appearance as a young, dynamic and ambitious leader, who cannot be defined as far-right, but who wants to put an end to this situation. social assistance to family or retirees Implemented by PiS. It began the campaign emerging as a possible third force, but faded away in the final phase. It is now estimated at 8%. He is seen as a potential new ally of PiS, although his leadership has guaranteed that he will support neither Kaczynski’s party nor Tusk’s PO.

5. Farewell to the weight of the countryside and unconditional support for Kiev

PiS owes its dominant position in Polish politics to the votes of the parliament. area. In the previous elections, it exceeded 50 percent in rural areas and reached 70 percent in some strongholds. Any mobilization farmers The response in Warsaw was almost immediate. The last example of this connection before the campaign was the step taken by the Government regarding Kiev. Suddenly, Prime Minister Morawiecki decided not only to maintain order. Veto on grain imports from Ukraine, but also announced the end of arms supplies to Ukraine. This was not an immediate suspension, but rather occurred after the commitments made had been fulfilled. However, it attracted attention because it was an EU partner and the representative of the eastern wing of the country. NATO Greater solidarity with Kiev, the EU accession country for millions of Ukrainians displaced by war. This was due to protests in the countryside against the transit of Ukrainian grain. The transit of grain from the neighboring country, which was exported at a favorable price thanks to international support, was an insult to its farmers and therefore to the defense of Polish interests.

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