Polls, public sentiment, and the political dynamic in Poland

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A growing sense persists among voters that repeated support for candidates has failed to deliver the wanted change. The absence of a single, unified list is a weakness, observed by Marcin Duma, president of IBRiS, in an interview with the weekly Polityka. He explained that PiS remains dominant in the polls and that the opposition is becoming less attractive to its own electorate.

The interviewer, Juliusz Ćwieluch, pressed on why PiS continues to hold sway in public opinion.

When Poland is asked to describe its situation, the overall assessment often remains favorable. About four in five Poles report living either well, fairly well, or somewhat well. In focus groups, supporters of the opposition party PO describe their own conditions quite differently. They talk about high prices, inflation, and a sense of hardship. Some respondents note that older residents struggle, while others admit personal restrictions are becoming noticeable for their families, even if the immediate situation does not trigger a dramatic response yet. The conversations reveal a contrast: the everyday lived reality for many PiS voters highlights inflation and its delayed effects, while those aligned with the opposition express more direct concerns about costs and comfort of living.

Marcin Duma offered a clear explanation for these divergent views, speaking with nuance about how policy and economic pressures are perceived by different segments of society.

– The case of John Paul II is a mine that exploded under the feet of the opposition, he remarked, noting that the issue has become a political trap not planted by PiS but sometimes exploited by political actors to gain advantage. He cautioned that the ruling party does not need to manufacture this problem to benefit from it, yet recognizes that opponents may weaponize it.

He highlighted the complexity of public discourse, where symbols and historical memory can suddenly influence electoral dynamics. The conversation underscored how religious and moral references can shape political arguments in ways that complicate straightforward policy debates.

tkwl/”Politics”

Source: wPolityce

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