A recent survey released by the Pollster Research Institute for Super Express presents a snapshot of the Polish political landscape, highlighting how the Local Government Movement Yes! For Poland interacts with the Civic Coalition and the United Right. The study finds that KO, allied with the Local Government Movement Yes! For Poland, would secure 30.03 percent of the vote, while the United Right could garner 32.17 percent in this scenario.
The Pollster Research Institute was commissioned by Super Express to explore the impact of the Local Government Movement Yes! For Poland on election outcomes. This inquiry seeks to understand how evolving party alliances might shift the balance of power in a competitive political environment.
In the first polling variant, the joint list of KO and Yes! For Poland trails the United Right by a small margin, with PiS and its allied groups estimated to lead by about two points. The United Right, comprising PiS, Solidarna Polska, and the Republican Party, is projected at 32.17 percent. The Civic Coalition, including PO, Nowoczesna, and Zieloni, alongside Yes! For Poland, is projected at 30.03 percent, illustrating a tight contest shaped by potential electoral coalitions.
Variant of a broader opposition bloc
When Yes! For Poland aligns within a wider opposition bloc, the poll suggests the opposition gains momentum. In this configuration the Civic Coalition partners with Yes! For Poland and the PSL, collectively reaching approximately 34.30 percent, while the United Right stands at about 32.86 percent. The results reflect how additional partners can alter vote shares and potentially influence governance coalitions in a fragmented political landscape.
Another interesting scenario considers a combined list featuring KO, PSL, and Polska 2050 led by Szymon Hołownia. In this arrangement the bloc captures roughly 41.78 percent of the vote, signaling a substantial consolidation that could reshape the balance of power. The United Right, in this variant, could expect around 33.90 percent of the vote, signaling a competitive but secondary path to government formation.
The survey was conducted on February 10 and 11, 2023, with a sample of 1,062 adult Poles. The reported margin of error for the study is approximately three percentage points, underscoring the need to interpret the results within a reasonable range of statistical uncertainty while acknowledging the dynamic nature of political opinion and coalition-building during campaign periods.
Source: wPolityce