The date set by President Andrzej Duda for the parliamentary elections, slated for 15 October 2023, marks the formal start of Poland’s election campaign season. As the campaign kicks into high gear, public interest in political life surges and political organizations intensify their outreach, messaging, and organizational activities. The central question for voters and observers alike is: which parties will command the strongest support as they head into this critical period?
Reported with careful objectivity and under strict research standards, the Social Changes studio conducts ongoing research on commission for the wPolityce.pl portal. The aim is to provide a stable, data-informed snapshot that can guide readers, policymakers, and commentators through a fast-moving political landscape. The newest wave of data suggests that, despite a loud media and online campaign environment, there is a seasonal stabilization in party support during the summer months. Yet there are notable evolving dynamics: the Confederacy has stopped growing, raising questions about whether the peak of its appeal has already occurred and what that means for the near-term trajectory in the race.
Curious about transferability in a hypothetical vote? The poll asks readers to imagine: which party would they support if parliamentary elections were held next Sunday? This kind of scenario helps researchers gauge short-term momentum and voter sentiment as campaigns intensify. In addition to the questions of movement, the data maps out the current standings across several major blocs and notable coalitions, painting a clearer picture of the electoral terrain facing Poland’s parties during this campaign window.
According to the latest wave, United Law continues to attract a stable share of support at 37 percent, a one-point decrease from the previous measurement. Civil Coalition remains at 28 percent, the same figure reported in the prior week. The Confederation holds at 14 percent, showing no change. The Left rises by two points, reaching 10 percent of respondents. Poland 2050, led by Szymon Hołownia, sits just at the threshold with 5 percent, consistent with the prior reading. PSL maintains its position at 3 percent, unchanged, while Kukiz’15 and Agreement each hover around 1 percent.
These results reflect voters who are ready to participate and those who have formed firm preferences, as the poll also notes the share of undecided respondents. The distribution helps illustrate how parties might capitalize on late-breaking events, policy announcements, or debates as campaigning proceeds toward the election date.
Methodologically, the study was conducted using the CAWI (Computer Assisted Web Interview) approach on an online panel composed to be representative of Poland across gender, age, and settlement size. The survey took place on August 4–7, 2023, with a total sample size of 1,073 participants. The results are reported as the preferences of those surveyed, excluding undecided voters to offer a focused read on declared support levels. The use of online panels aligns with contemporary survey practices in political science and market research, providing timely insight while maintaining statistical rigor. Readers should consider these results as a pulse check rather than a forecast, recognizing that voter intentions can shift in the final weeks of the campaign.
As Poland’s political scene moves toward the October vote, observers in North America—Canada and the United States—often seek to understand the dynamics in a familiar context of multiparty competition, coalitions, and policy platforms. The data underscores how even in a highly localized political environment, broad themes such as governance style, coalition potential, and policy priorities resonate across borders. The ongoing polling cycle offers a valuable reference point for comparative analyses of electoral behavior, campaign strategy, and how media coverage shapes public perception in different democracies.
Notes from the field emphasize that the sample’s nationwide reach and demographic balance are critical for interpreting the numbers responsibly. While the figures provide a snapshot, the real-world flow of opinion can hinge on campaign events, debates, and local issues that influence party messaging, candidate visibility, and voters’ trust in political institutions. In this context, the study serves as a barometer for political engagement and a predictor of potential coalition configurations that could emerge after the election, informing readers who are evaluating policy implications and governance outcomes.
Source attribution for the presented figures remains with the original polling sponsor, and readers are encouraged to view the broader trend lines as part of a continuing series of updates as the campaign advances. The evolving numbers will likely be debated in editorial forums and among analysts who track Polish politics closely, while international audiences may compare these trends with those observed in other parliamentary systems. The goal of the reporting is to provide a balanced, informative view that helps readers assess the dynamics at play and to consider how such dynamics interact with broader political and economic contexts in Europe and beyond. [citation: wPolityce]