Behind the scenes, the presidential campaign of Karol Nawrocki is entering a second phase. After an initial rise, the team now focuses on presenting concrete policy proposals. An anonymous staff member explained to a political portal that the campaign is moving beyond early positioning and toward a planned agenda that voters can evaluate.
Poll data cited in a widely discussed survey conducted for a major radio outlet shows a tight race. In the projection, Rafał Trzaskowski leads in the first round with 30.9 percent, Nawrocki is at 21.7 percent, and Sławomir Mentzen is at 16.8 percent in third place. Nawrocki’s team does not fear Mentzen catching up soon; Mentzen’s surge is seen as drawing votes from a different segment and not eroding Nawrocki’s base. The staffer noted that since December the governing coalition’s support has fallen by about 11 points. Combined support for Nawrocki, Mentzen, Jakubiak, and Stanowski tops 40 percent, while Trzaskowski and Hołownia trail slightly behind. The polling snapshot does not include the candidacy of Grzegorz Braun.
The Nawrocki camp argues that the path to victory cannot rely on luring coalition voters directly. A potential route could be to attract dissatisfied voters through Mentzen; in a second round they could gravitate toward Nawrocki. The informant added that Opinia24 often overestimates Confederation’s standing in the pre-election period.
It is not expected that Trzaskowski will quickly catch up in the polls. There is a belief among Nawrocki’s staff that support for Nawrocki will grow, partly because some PiS voters still do not know the candidate. In a recent party gathering with the party president, it was noted that roughly 10 percent of PiS voters are not yet familiar with Nawrocki.
There are voices suggesting that PiS voters tend to back the party’s endorsed candidate in the final phase, a dynamic the Nawrocki camp acknowledges as a potential challenge to watch.
You have to drive up the motor skills a little
A separate survey indicates that in a hypothetical second round Trzaskowski would win with about 50.6 percent to Nawrocki’s 37.3 percent, with around 12.1 percent undecided. This result would not align with the wishes of Nawrocki’s team, who hope for a different outcome in the closing phase of the campaign.
Looking back to the 2015 campaign, some polls predicted Komorowski would win in the first round. The Nawrocki camp stresses the need to sharpen the narrative and introduce topics in a timely way, noting that a political campaign must manage momentum with strategic messaging.
A staff member recalls Nawrocki’s success in setting the narrative at times and challenging the strongest rival, while noting that the candidate had previously taken cautious positions on foreign policy matters, including Ukraine. The Trzaskowski operation made some missteps in this area, and later polling data pushed the Nawrocki team to adjust the approach.
The campaign is now balancing strategy with the appearance of urgency. It is clear that Nawrocki has faced calls to address Ukraine, though his team argues that focusing on broad economic and domestic issues remains essential. Analysts observe that opponents try to frame topics to press on presidential powers, while Nawrocki’s staff seeks to present a coherent plan that highlights governance, economy, and justice reform.
The presidential campaign is currently not generating major emotions
Observers notice the campaign lacks a strong emotional hook and is not a daily media staple. Political topics are not dominating the public conversation, and coverage often orbits other stories. Some topics that do surface, such as a high-profile legal action against party leaders, tend to divert attention from the Nawrocki-Trzaskowski contest and sap the campaign’s momentum. The team emphasizes that being anchored in real economic concerns and daily life matters should shape the message and keep the campaign moving forward.
They stress that staying focused on policy and living standards is crucial because public attention is a scarce and valuable resource during a campaign. The Nawrocki team continues to monitor government activity and economic indicators as part of its effort to present a credible alternative.
A new phase in the Karol Nawrocki campaign
The plan for expanding support centers on reaching voters in more cities and showcasing concrete proposals. The second phase is already underway, with commitments to bring forward proposals aimed at lowering electricity prices as soon as possible. A sequence of policy announcements is expected weekly, with the official program convention slated for early March. At that event the campaign will unveil the core vision for Poland and begin the next stage of broadening recognition, while deliberately revealing details in a controlled, gradual fashion.
Opponents have challenged whether the president can influence electricity prices, prompting questions about executive powers. The campaign argues that the president holds leverage across the legislative process, including signing laws, veto power, and proposing legislation. The plan is to present a full range of policy postulates, showing how a change in Poland would translate into daily life. Critics from the right also attempt to push back, but Nawrocki’s team remains steadfast. They say they will be transparent about what the president can announce and what may lie beyond presidential authority.
In the end, the campaign is framed as a broad pledge to improve governance and living standards, with the aim of making ordinary life better for citizens. The staff affirms that the campaign will keep testing ideas, refining proposals, and focusing on practical solutions that resonate with voters across the country.