The late Ipsos poll indicates a winning outcome for PiS in the Sejm elections, securing 36.6% of the vote. Other groups posted varied performances: KO at 31%, Third Way at 13.5%, Left at 8.6%, Confederation with 6.4%, and nonpartisan local governments at 2.4%.
An Ipsos poll carried out for TVP, TVN, and Polsat presents a seat projection based on these percentages: PiS approximately 198 seats, Civic Coalition around 161 seats, Third Road about 57 seats, Left near 30 seats, and Confederation roughly 14 seats.
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What did the exit poll reveal about backing on election day?
The exit poll breakdown looked like this: PiS at 36.8%, Civic Coalition at 31.6%, Third Way at 13%, Left at 8.6%, and Confederation at 6.2%. Ipsos noted that all of these blocs would win parliamentary seats. Nonpartisan local governments remained below the threshold with 2.4%. The survey also captured how people voted as they left polling stations, offering a snapshot of immediate sentiment.
The culmination of the exit poll seat tally showed PiS with about 200 seats, KO around 163, Third Way roughly 55, Left about 30, and Confederation near 12.
gah/PAP