Despite controversial actions that challenge the authority of parliament and office, the Marshal of the Sejm, Szymon Hołownia, holds 54.4% confidence in the latest IBRiS poll for Onet. Warsaw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski sits in second with 47.4% confidence, while Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Defense Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz ranks third with 42.7% trust. The results show a broad base of support for Hołownia, with respondents noting his steady presence in public life and his role in shaping parliamentary debates. This snapshot reflects the current mood among respondents and highlights how public perception can shift in response to political events.
Persistent attempts to constrain the president’s prerogatives and to disrupt the Sejm’s proceedings during sessions have kept the focus on leadership dynamics within the ruling coalition and opposition. The events surrounding the Sejm Presidium nomination and debates over the conduct of certain MPs have been controversial, drawing attention to the balance between procedure and public demonstrations. The overall takeaway from the IBRiS data is that many respondents view Hołownia as a stabilizing figure even amid tensions and procedural disputes. The survey captures a moment in time when political scrutiny and media coverage converge to shape public attitudes toward leadership and governance.
However, the survey findings align with the respondents’ views in the IBRiS survey for Onet.
Hołownia’s standing
The IBRiS confidence poll places Sejm President Szymon Hołownia at the top for the third consecutive time, underscoring his staying power in public opinion.
In January, 54.4 percent expressed confidence, including 22 percent who are certain and 32.4 percent who are somewhat confident. This marks an increase of 8.8 percentage points from December, when confidence stood at 45.6 percent. Around 27.9% of respondents do not trust the Sejm’s chair, with 17.2% holding a neutral view.
IBRiS notes that Hołownia achieved a new record public support level in Onet’s coverage. The previous high in the series dated back to September 2020, when Andrzej Duda led with 52.2% support during the start of his second term.
Rafał Trzaskowski ranks second, with 47.4% of people expressing confidence this month (21.2% certain, 26.2% rather). The report highlights a rise of 4.1 percentage points from the prior month. About 37.6% do not trust the mayor, up by 2.4 points, and 13.8% have a neutral view.
Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz occupies third place at 42.7% trust. Among respondents, 13.9% are certain, 28.8% rather, and negative opinions stand at 31.1% with a 3.7-point increase since December. Neutral sentiment rests at 20.6%, down by 2.7 points.
Rising confidence in President Duda
Andrzej Duda sits just outside the podium, with 41.3% trust in the latest IBRiS survey. This marks a gain of 2.6 percentage points from the previous month. Forty-seven point nine percent of respondents say they do not trust politicians, up by 8.4 points, while 10.3% hold a neutral view, down by 11.5 points.
The report notes Onet’s coverage of these shifts in opinion.
Prime Minister Donald Tusk maintains fifth place with 38.9% trust, up by 1.4 points since December. A negative perception sits with 47.9% (up by 1 point), and 13.2% remain neutral, down by 1.4 points.
Former Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki re-enters the top ranks with 38.4% confidence, signaling an 8.3-point rise from December. Negative perceptions remain high at 50.9%, while 9.6% reflect neutral views, down by 6.7 points.
Other notable names in the top ten include PSL Deputy Chairman Piotr Zgorzelski with 35.4% confidence, Krzysztof Gawkowski of the Left with 35.3%, Radosław Sikorski of KO at 33.5%, and Robert Biedroń (Left) at 33.4%, each showing gains from the prior measure.
Bodnar’s debut
Attorney General Adam Bodnar enters the rankings at 29.8% confidence. The shift may reflect more favorable reviews as well as a relatively large share of respondents who are unsure about the new minister, at 41.8%.
The leaders in the lack of trust continue to include Zbigniew Ziobro at 62.4%, Jarosław Kaczyński at 56.4%, Mateusz Morawiecki at 50.9%, and Krzysztof Bosak at 50.3%.
The survey was conducted January 19–20, 2024 by the Institute for Market and Social Research (IBRiS) with a national sample of 1.1 thousand adults reached by telephone, using a standardized computer-assisted questionnaire.
In the end, the discussion centers on how Poles perceive the Sejm’s image and how public shows influence perceptions of governance. The question remains whether the popularity of televised moments and modern branding of political life will continue to shape public confidence in institutions.
Source: Onet, with data from IBRiS.