Polish Trust Ranking Signals Shifts Among Key Leaders

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President Andrzej Duda enjoys the highest trust among Poles, according to the May IBRiS trust ranking reported by Onet. The latest numbers bring some bad news for Szymon Hołownia, whose standing has weakened to a level not seen in more than three years as the leader of Poland 2050. The poll captures public sentiment across a broad cross section of adults, painted in a snapshot of the nation’s political landscape.

Duda, Trzaskowski and Morawiecki at the helm

The May ranking places President Andrzej Duda firmly at the top of public confidence. He is trusted by 43.2 percent of respondents, with 18 percent saying they are certainly confident and 25.2 percent expressing a rather confident stance. Compared with April, the president’s trust climbs by 1.8 percentage points. A sizable share, 43.3 percent, report no confidence in the president, while 13.5 percent are neutral about him. This distribution highlights a polarized view of the presidency, with a clarity of leadership perceived by a portion of the electorate and a sizeable dissenting view among others.

Next in line is Rafał Trzaskowski, who enjoys trust from 37.1 percent of respondents, including 17.2 percent who are certainly confident and 19.9 percent who feel rather confident. In contrast to the April results, support for Trzaskowski fades by 3.2 percentage points. A larger group, 48.2 percent, do not trust him at all, while 14.7 percent remain neutral. The numbers indicate a shift away from Trzaskowski among those surveyed, reflecting evolving opinions about leadership and policy direction during the period under study.

Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki sits in third place in the ranking, with 36.7 percent of respondents expressing trust. Among them, 15.5 percent are certainly confident and 21.2 percent feel rather confident. This marks a 1.6 percentage point rise from the April measure. However, distrust remains prevalent, with 55.7 percent of respondents expressing distrust and 7.6 percent holding a neutral view. The data suggests that while the prime minister maintains a base of loyal supporters, a large portion of the population remains skeptical about executive governance.

Notable shifts and broad cross-currents

Rising in the broader list are figures like Donald Tusk, at 33.1 percent trust, followed by Jarosław Kaczyński at 30.8 percent. Other recognizable names such as Elżbieta Witek and Tomasz Grodzki each register trust from 31.1 percent of respondents, while Daniel Obajtek sits at 30.6 percent. Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz garners 29 percent and Beata Szydło 28.4 percent. The spread among these leaders shows a diverse field where different political strands find varying levels of public confidence.

In this round of surveying, Szymon Hołownia posts a notably weaker result. He registers trust from 25 percent of respondents, a decline of three percentage points since April. This marks Hołownia’s weakest showing since March 2020, when his political journey began. The decline signals potential recalibration among voters about his party platform and leadership style during the current cycle.

The research was conducted by the Institute for Market and Social Research IBRiS on 20-21 May 2023, drawing on a national sample of about 1,100 adults. The survey relied on telephone interviews using standardized computer aided questionnaires, a method known as CATI, to gather responses across regions and demographics in Poland.

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Questionnaire takeaways indicate Duda leading the trust rankings, with Morawiecki, Trzaskowski, and Blaszczak following in close order. Other headlines highlight political dynamics such as the margin separating PiS and KO and questions about potential coalitions involving Hołownia and PSL. Public sentiment on 800 plus remains a talking point as Poles reflect on social and economic policies shaping daily life.

The report reflects a snapshot of opinion and should be understood within the context of timing, events, and recent political developments that influence trust in national leadership. It underscores how voters weigh personal leadership qualities, policy outcomes, and party affiliation when forming their views about the country’s direction.

Source: wPolityce

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