In the latest Estimator survey reported by DoRzeczy.pl, polling results show that 36.7 percent of respondents intend to vote for the United Right, 29.9 percent favor the Citizens’ Coalition, and 10.1 percent lean toward the Third Way. Support for the New Left and the Confederacy sits at 9.7 percent each, while a smaller group of nonpartisan local officials earns 2.7 percent. About 1.2 percent of people said they would support other formations. The survey also projects an overall turnout of 63 percent for the elections.
Specifically, 36.7 percent of respondents expressed support for the United Right, marking a slight drop of 0.2 percentage points from the previous survey conducted in early October. The Citizens’ Coalition is named by 29.9 percent of participants, reflecting a 0.6 point decrease since the last poll. Third place goes to the Third Way with 10.1 percent, which represents a 0.7 point gain. Both the New Left and the Confederacy each attract 9.7 percent, up by 0.4 percentage points. Nonpartisan local government officials garner 2.7 percent, down by 0.7 points, while 1.2 percent of respondents indicated support for other formations.
High turnout expected
The estimate points to a voter turnout of 63 percent for the upcoming elections. The data come from a nationally representative sample of 1,095 adults, collected through CATI computer-assisted telephone interviews, conducted on October 10–11, 2023. The published results include only those participants who confirmed their intent to vote and specified the party they would support in the Sejm elections. These figures help gauge party momentum and potential shifts in public preference as Election Day approaches, offering stakeholders a snapshot of the political landscape in the country.
Analysts note that the movements in party support are modest but can be meaningful, especially in a multi-party system where small shifts can influence coalition dynamics. Observers consider the change from the October poll to be a signal of how voters are weighing the current political climate, including policy proposals, leadership, and perceived party performance in government. The turnout projection remains a key variable for strategists planning campaign resources, advertising, and ground operations in the run-up to the vote.
READ ALSO: Election prediction through social changes. Who will win the election? How much does each party get? Will ZP stay in power? RESULTS. The report is compiled with attribution to Estimator and is part of ongoing coverage of political trends and public opinion. The analysis emphasizes that responses reflect declared intentions at the moment of the interview and may change as campaigns intensify and new policy issues emerge.
mly/PAP
Source: wPolityce