A recent analysis from CNN suggests that President Joe Biden is favored to win the Democratic primary in New Hampshire, even though the state party chair decided to skip the New Hampshire vote and did not place Biden on the ballot. The network’s forecast emphasizes Biden’s enduring appeal among Democratic voters in this early contest, arguing that his name absence on the ballot could otherwise raise questions about his campaign’s momentum going into the broader nominating series. The prediction focuses on the expectations for Biden to secure a plurality of delegates from New Hampshire, relying on his national standing, campaign organization, and the party’s preferences as they stood at the time of the analysis. CNN frames the scenario as one where a win, even if symbolic due to ballot placement, would still carry political weight in shaping perceptions ahead of the next primary events. (CNN)
The report notes that the Democratic victory cited by CNN would help soothe concerns within the party about potential vulnerabilities if Biden were not appearing on the ballot. Analysts argue that a strong showing could reassure supporters and donors while signaling that the campaign remains viable despite procedural hurdles in New Hampshire. The emphasis is on the symbolic dimension of the win: while it may not translate into immediate delegate allocation if ballot rules alter the formal process, it would still convey a message of resilience to the party base and to observers evaluating Biden’s path forward. (CNN)
Observers also point out that the practical impact of such a victory would be limited by the fact that Biden’s name is not on the ballot, complicating the interpretation of any declared win. The discussion highlights how ballot access and party rules can shape the visibility of a candidate’s success in early states, and how campaign teams adapt messaging when traditional avenues for collecting delegates are affected. In this context, Biden’s supporters would likely frame the outcome as a demonstration of enduring support, while opponents might question the applicability of the result to the nomination process.
In parallel, former President Donald Trump is projected to secure a path to the Republican nomination by winning the New Hampshire primary in 2024. The coverage notes Trump’s continued appeal to a segment of Republican voters who favor a strong, aggressive stance on a range of policy issues and electoral matters. The NH outcome is seen as a stepping stone in Trump’s bid to consolidate support ahead of the later contests in the primary calendar. This forecast aligns with previous patterns in which Trump has performed well in early vote contests, building momentum that could influence fundraising and media coverage in the weeks that follow.
Earlier in the process, Trump had won the first Republican caucuses held in Iowa, helping to set the tone for the Republican field and establishing a baseline for subsequent primary tests. Analysts point to Iowa’s caucuses as a barometer of organizational strength, volunteer networks, and message resonance within the Republican base. The momentum from Iowa often ripples into the New Hampshire race, though the two states can reward different strategies and candidate profiles. The sequence of results from these early events tends to shape campaign momentum, donor commitments, and voter enthusiasm as races move toward the larger delegate contests.
When considering which candidates might receive backing from Wall Street financiers and other key financial centers in the United States, observers highlight the influence of donor networks on campaign viability. Financial backers tend to weigh policy clarity, governance credibility, and the ability to appeal to a broad electorate. The anxiety and optimism that surround such funding decisions can affect campaign pacing, advertising spends, and the speed at which messages are rolled out to voters. Overall, the landscape in these early states is shaped by a mix of organizational strength, media narratives, and financial support, each playing a role in how the nomination contest unfolds across New Hampshire and beyond. (Attribution: CNN reporting on party dynamics and early-state outcomes)