The Roubaix Vote, Deindustrialization and a Strained City

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Deindustrialization and neoliberalism

Roubaix sits at the northern edge of France and bears the imprint of deindustrialization and liberal economic policies. Factories closed, and with them vanished the lifeblood of many neighborhoods. Unemployment hovers around 30 percent according to INSEE. Once a powerhouse of wealth in the early 20th century, Roubaix has slipped into poverty, earning the label of European textile capital because of its once dominant wool industry. This economic squeeze went hand in hand with political marginalization. The Socialist Party’s influence waned, the North’s powerful federation faced trouble, and progressive groups struggled to connect with the working-class voters who now dominate local sentiment.

“Here we are, the champions of abstention among the French”, complained Ali Rahni, head of the Association for Unification and Dialogue and a neighborhood activist. A telling example is the 2020 re-election of the mayor, Guillaume Delbar, who won with just over 5,000 votes in a city of 100,000. In last year’s regional elections, abstention reached 84 percent. The pattern is clear: many locals stay away from the ballot box even as issues pile up around them.

In presidential elections, Roubaix tends to participate more than in regional ones. Voters turned out at about 62 percent in 2017. This year, however, media coverage around Ukraine and broader international tensions cast a long shadow, with forecasts signaling a turnout around 70–71 percent—near the record highs of the Fifth Republic. Yet recent days have shown signs of renewed mobilization among protesters and workers, helping to lift the profile of candidates tied to social and environmental causes, including Mélenchon and Le Pen, who rely on the turnout of younger voters and the working class alike. The region’s political dynamics have become a focal point in national discussions about how the economy and social safety nets are managed by the leadership in Paris.

Under the headline of reform and accountability, observers note the friction between economic growth metrics and the lived experience of residents. A local professor observes that participation gaps between middle-and upper-income households and lower-income groups mirror a trend seen in the United States, provoking debates about whether abstention could rise or fall depending on how politicians address day-to-day concerns. Local sociologists describe a mood of disappointment in public decision-making, with residents feeling left out of the policy calculus that shapes their daily lives. The concern is not merely political. It touches the security of everyday routines, from housing to food aid distributions.

Faiza, 27, a nursing student, shares the sense of insecurity sweeping the town. She notes that politicians make promises without following through. Her packaging pickup last Tuesday underlines how support networks like Secours Populaire rely on volunteers to meet growing needs. The city shows visible signs of strain, with almost 40 percent of residents living below the poverty line. Nora Chiheb, deputy director of Secours Populaire in Roubaix, explains that aid distributions have fallen from 300 to 150 packages per day since the pandemic, illustrating the persistent fragility faced by many families.

One campaign argument repeatedly heard is that the national economic picture is improving. Official statistics show GDP growth and lower unemployment, yet many locals remain skeptical about real gains for workers and rising living costs. Yasmina, a health worker, says the message of a thriving economy bypasses those who struggle most. She supported Macron in the previous runoff but would hesitate if a new runoff pitted Macron against Le Pen again, illustrating how national narratives can collide with local realities.

The political landscape in Roubaix has also been shaped by cultural tensions and media coverage. A young resident, Maxime, explains the frustration around perceived identity politics and the impact of national debates on local sentiment. In recent months a controversial documentary raised questions about how the town is portrayed to the broader audience. Local businesses and residents report receiving threats and hostility tied to these discussions, highlighting the volatile mix of local pride, fear, and political rhetoric that characterizes Roubaix’s current moment.

Valerie Pécresse, a curator associated with one of the central streets near the city hall, faced scrutiny over a perceived link to a bookstore described as promoting certain religious materials. Critics accused it of representing an ideological agenda, while supporters argued it was simply a community space. The incident underscored how cultural fault lines intersect with electoral politics, and how such debates ripple through the daily lives of residents and shopkeepers alike.

Saida, 27, who runs a fashion store near the contested site, describes repeated insults and death threats received by her partner. The emotional toll demonstrates how sustained political rhetoric can spill into personal safety concerns for ordinary citizens. After months of careful messaging on Zemmour and Le Pen, Mélenchon’s team remains hopeful that a broader anti-establishment sentiment could translate into votes, though abstention remains a significant variable. The final outcome will hinge on whether the electorate turns out in strong numbers or continues to stay home.

The debate in Roubaix captures a wider question about how a nation balances economic recovery with social solidarity. It asks whether the voices of the most affected communities—workers, students, and families facing poverty—will be heard in the national conversation. And it tests whether a left-wing movement can mobilize these voters to shape the trajectory of local and national policy in the months ahead, despite a history of skepticism toward political institutions and a fragile sense of trust in promised reforms.

The militants of La Francia Insumise propagating Mélenchon. Enric Bonet

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