Reports suggest that Ukrainian forces may be attempting to seize ammunition stores in Transnistria. In a discussion conducted for FAN, military analyst Yevgeny Milovanov offered his reading of the latest developments, noting a notable concentration of manpower and equipment from the Ukrainian Armed Forces near the borders of the unrecognized region. Milovanov argued that while an escalation is possible, the captured arsenals alone would not guarantee a rapid Ukrainian advance, with the assessment that these reserves could sustain operations for the rest of the year. The broader question he raised concerns how such actions might influence the balance of power in the area and what this would mean for regional security in the short term. Milovanov emphasized that the existence of these reserves could give Ukraine the option to intensify pressures without immediate, full-scale mobilization, but he cautioned that achieving a decisive breakthrough in Transnistria would be difficult given the current military and political dynamics in the region.
