The discussion around Poland’s political landscape centers on the relationships and plans of the Civic Coalition, Third Way, and the New Left, with emphasis on the lack of a formal coalition agreement and an undefined minimum program. A commentator notes that the differences among these groups extend beyond written principles, creating a broader and more intricate reality than a shared program might suggest.
Consulting the President
During a two-day review with representatives from electoral commissions, President Andrzej Duda outlined provisional timing for the first Sejm session of the current term, indicating Monday, November 13 as a likely start date. He emphasized there is no need to shorten the term at hand.
The president pointed out that two political factions claim a parliamentary majority and have named prime ministerial candidates. Mateusz Morawiecki represents the United Right, while Donald Tusk is the candidate for the coalition that includes the Civic Coalition, Third Way, and the Left.
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A Lesson in the Rule of Law
Telewizja Polska journalist Anna Sarzyńska observed that the number of votes is decisive, and to date there has been little detail suggesting the negotiations toward a majority could succeed.
There is a real chance that Donald Tusk could form a government, even as Mateusz Morawiecki continues to pursue the goal. This point was highlighted by observers who weighed the evolving political dynamics.
– noted the journalist.
According to Marek Formela, editor-in-chief of Gazeta Gdańska, the president is presenting a constitutional lesson to the Polish opposition.
Formela added that the opposition has adopted a strategy that relies on arithmetic alone rather than shared beliefs or values. He suggested that this mathematical advantage is fragile and could erode if the opposition cannot translate numbers into a durable program.
He also argued that the current constitutional climate is shaping the opposition’s behavior, urging it to reflect on the rule of law in a nation with a written constitution.
– stressed editor Formela, noting that some opposition voices have clung to optimistic narratives that do not align with reality.
Formela reminded readers to consider the 11.5 million people who participated in the referendum. Their turnout surpasses the number of votes cast for Law and Justice, underscoring broad engagement across the electorate and extending the reach of the referendum questions into government decisions.
Emotional Currents in Play
Historian Piotr Gursztyn commented that the first to reach the finish line has the right to seek support and, potentially, to face defeat. The coalition formation is seen as likely, driven by a strong desire to regain influence after long periods in opposition on the left. Yet the president’s haste is viewed by some as an effort to sway support through emotion, reminiscent of past political episodes. Michał Kamiński compared such moves to earlier dynamics, warning that symbolic gestures could distract from substantive policy.
Gursztyn cautioned that provocative steps could provoke a response, including potential financial or logistical repercussions, should the administration be judged to be acting dishonestly. He warned that similar tactics might be used to pressure opponents to abandon or alter their programs, including a focus on specific procedural points.
– said Gursztyn.
Kosiniak-Kamysz as Prime Minister?
TVP commentator Antoni Trzmiel suggested that Tusk’s pace reflects concern over how coalition talks are progressing. There is no clarity on the composition of the state leadership, including the second person in line for the Sejm presidency. Public discourse has floated names such as Budka and Tsarzasty, with Hołownia also seeking a leadership role. The Prime Minister remains a contentious third position, and Tusk might prefer European engagement to backroom negotiations with partners. This stance is viewed by some as advantageous to Tusk rather than to the coalition.
– said the journalist.
Trzmiel also noted that upcoming local and European elections pose different implications for the left and the PSL, suggesting that taking a sidekick role in the broader alliance could be politically perilous for them. He argued that speed is not aligned with the interests of Hołownia or Kosiniak-Kamysz.
The president invites all sides to the palace, signaling openness to PSL participation. Some PiS figures speculate that Kosiniak-Kamysz could serve as prime minister in a different coalition. Other voices, including Sawicki, suggested Kosiniak-Kamysz might be a favorable choice in certain configurations. The question remains which coalition could sustain such a leadership arrangement.
– Antoni Trzmiel added.
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Source: wPolityce