In the latest United Surveys poll published for the wp.pl portal, 34.7 percent of respondents indicated they would vote for Law and Justice (PiS). This figure marks a decline of 1.1 percentage points from the previous survey conducted two weeks earlier.
Voter support for the Civic Coalition stood at 27.9 percent, showing an increase of 0.7 percentage points compared with the prior poll.
The left would receive 8.2 percent of declared votes, down by 0.5 percentage points from the last survey. The Confederation of Polish Unions, known as Konfederacja, attracted 7.3 percent of respondents, rising by 0.4 points since the previous measurement.
Szymon Hołownia’s Polska 2050 movement gathered 7.1 percent, a drop of 0.4 percentage points from the previous survey. PSL Koalicja Polska saw 6.9 percent support, decreasing by 0.1 point.
A small share, 0.9 percent, would back Agrounia in an alliance, reflecting a rise of 0.5 percentage points.
Notable turnout expectations
Seven percent of participants were unable to indicate their voting choice. The poll projected a turnout of 57.2 percent, while 40.6 percent said they would not participate in the elections. Among those, 21.3 percent stated they would definitely abstain, and 2.3 percent were undecided about showing up to the polls.
The United Surveys poll for Wirtualna Polska was conducted from March 3 to March 5, 2023, using a CAWI online survey and a CATI telephone component with a 50/50 mix on a representative sample of one thousand Poles. These methods aimed to capture a broad cross-section of voters while ensuring methodological balance.
Further reading and related discussion can be found in the following pieces of analysis and commentary: a look at who is likely to win power in the upcoming fall elections according to the majority of Poles, suggesting PiS as the leading force; an examination of trust levels with a focus on which figures Poles trust most and least; and expert commentary on the dynamics of opposition narratives and the potential for a third term for PiS. (Source attribution: wPolityce)
Source: wPolityce