Polish Political Polls Show Shifts in Support Across Major Parties
Recent results from United Surveys for Wirtualna Polska reveal changes in voter preferences among Poland’s leading parties. Law and Justice maintains a solid lead, with 31.7 percent of respondents indicating a willingness to vote for the party. This marks a decline from the 34.2 percent recorded in the June measurement, illustrating a slight cooling in PiS support. The Civic Coalition also appears to be cooling off, recording 28.2 percent of planned votes, down from 29.7 percent two weeks prior. These movements suggest a landscape where both top contenders see only modest gains in a shifting political climate.
Analysts note that the decline for the Civic Coalition is less pronounced than PiS’s retreat, yet the trend lines still point to a tightening race at the national level. The poll, conducted June 23 to 25 on a representative sample of 1,000 adult Poles using a 50/50 mix of CATI and CAWI methods, provides a snapshot of the current electoral mood as campaigns move toward the summer period. The data remind readers that voter intent can swing in response to policy debates, economic concerns, and campaign messaging as new issues emerge.
In third place, Confederation posted an increase, securing 14 percent of support, up by 2.5 percentage points from mid-June. This shift highlights growing interest in alternative voices in the domestic political scene, even as the two-party dynamic remains the dominant force in the public eye. The rise for Confederation comes alongside a more modest movement among other parties, underlining the diversification of voter loyalties in recent weeks.
What About the Rest of the Field?
The Third Way, consisting of the joint list of Poland 2050 and PSL, collected 12.1 percent, up from 10.2 percent in the previous survey. The Left stood at 8 percent, slightly lower than the 9.7 percent seen earlier. AgroUnia remained below the electoral threshold with 0.7 percent, an uptick from 0.1 percent in the prior measure. The share of respondents uncertain about whom to vote for rose to 5.3 percent, up from 4.6 percent, reflecting ongoing indecision amid a crowded political field.
These numbers come from a national survey conducted using a balanced mix of telephone and online interviewing, designed to capture a broad cross-section of voters. The methodology supports a credible cross-section of political opinions, though, as with all polls, minor fluctuations can occur from sampling, weighting, or recent news events. In any case, the latest readings offer a useful gauge of the relative standing of Poland’s major parties and the level of support for smaller groups as the political calendar advances.
The polling update provides a clearer picture of how different segments of society may respond to upcoming policy debates, campaign promises, and the broader economic environment. Voters weigh party platforms, leadership credibility, and the perceived ability to deliver on stated objectives as they consider their choices in upcoming electoral rounds. The evolving numbers underscore the importance of staying informed about poll dynamics, especially for those following Poland’s vibrant and multi-party political system.
Overall, the June results depict a political arena where two top parties command most of the public’s attention, while a growing minority explores additional options. The shifts observed between the latest and prior surveys emphasize that public opinion can shift in response to new information, campaign strategies, and national or regional developments. The data serve as a valuable barometer for analysts and watchers seeking to understand how voters are aligning as the political conversation continues to unfold.
Source and methodology details are provided by United Surveys for Wirtualna Polska in the cited study. Marked citations accompany the public attribution to the organizations that conducted and reported the findings.