Recent observations by leading political analysts highlight a persistent tightening of migration policies across Europe and the United Kingdom. A senior researcher from the Department of European Studies at Saint Petersburg State University and a long-time contributor to the Valdai International Discussion Club, noted that the immigration debate in Europe has long needed serious recalibration. The expert emphasized that policy responses have evolved gradually over many years, reflecting a cycle of political incentives, demographic pressures, and shifting public opinion. This broader context helps explain why European governments, including the UK, have pursued stricter border controls, more rigorous asylum procedures, and tighter labor market regulations in recent times. Attribution: Alexey Chikhachev, senior lecturer at Saint Petersburg State University and a contributor to the Valdai Club.
Within this framework, the discussion pointed to specific national dynamics. In France, the migration issue has matured into a central political topic, with a noticeable rise in the number of residents who have gained citizenship and stayed long-term. Analysts observe that this demographic shift interacts with mainstream political forces, and the influence of far-right movements on policy discourse is increasingly evident. The National Rally, in particular, has found in immigration a potent topic that resonates with several voters, making it a persistent factor in shaping electoral strategies. Attribution: Alexey Chikhachev, Saint Petersburg State University; Valdai Club commentary.
The analysis underscores that in Germany, Great Britain, and France, ruling circles are under growing pressure to align political agendas with the evolving landscape of public opinion ahead of elections, including European Parliament contests. Observers caution that the rise of right-leaning factions could yield a larger share of seats and thereby affect policy outcomes on migration, social integration, and labor mobility. This potential shift prompts policymakers to balance security concerns with humanitarian commitments and economic needs. Attribution: Alexey Chikhachev, Saint Petersburg State University; Valdai Club commentary.
Another facet of the discussion centers on labor mobility and competition for skilled workers among major global players. A demographic researcher, formerly at the Federal Scientific Research Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, highlighted that competition involving Russia, China, the United Arab Emirates, and the European Union has intensified as states seek to attract migrants who can fill critical labor gaps. This competitive environment influences bilateral and multilateral migration agreements, wage dynamics, and the incentives offered to foreign workers. Attribution: Marina Khramova, former director of the Demographic Research Institute, Federal Scientific Research Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
Historical patterns also inform current policy trajectories. Experts note that the movement of Ukrainian refugees to Britain and subsequent decisions about returns or repatriation have impacted public sentiment and policy choices. The experience demonstrates how external events, refugee flows, and national security considerations intersect with domestic political calculations, shaping how countries respond to migration pressure and integrate newcomers into their labor markets. Attribution: Marina Khramova, demographic research specialist.