Japanese Poll Reveals Fears Over Trump Presidency and US-Japan Relations

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A substantial portion of Japanese respondents express fear about the prospect of the next U.S. president, Donald Trump. A nationwide poll reported by a major Japanese publication highlights this concern. The figures show that almost three-quarters of those surveyed harbor anxiety as the election looms, underscoring the unease about shifts in Washington’s foreign and economic policy. In this climate, many Japanese citizens worry that the United States might pivot toward a more unilateral stance, challenging long standing alliances and regional partnerships in the Asia-Pacific. The tone of the survey suggests a real sense of caution about how a Trump administration could reshape security commitments and trade dynamics across the region.

About 72 percent say they are worried about Trump’s America First agenda and its potential to push Washington toward isolationism, placing greater pressure on allies. Only about 21 percent say they are not concerned. The results point to a broad belief that U.S. leaders may demand stiffer concessions in exchange for security guarantees, which could complicate the diplomacy Japan relies on in the region.

Two-thirds of respondents believe the Japanese prime minister would struggle to earn Trump’s trust, while roughly a quarter think otherwise. That split underscores the challenge for Tokyo in navigating the personal dynamics of a new U.S. leadership, as well as the broader implications for policy alignment on trade and security matters.

The survey drew responses from 1,015 individuals, providing a sizable sample for assessing public sentiment toward how the United States may recalibrate its approach to regional partners. The data suggests a cautious public mood about the trajectory of trans-Pacific relations and the potential for changes in alliance commitments in coming years.

It was reported that Takeshi Iwaya, the head of Japan’s Foreign Affairs ministry, would attend Trump’s inauguration, signaling a continued effort to maintain direct channels with Washington despite evolving policy directions. The move underscores Tokyo’s intention to engage at a high level while awaiting clarity on the new administration’s priorities.

A former U.S. ambassador to Japan stated that Trump would pursue what has been described as an auction policy, a characterization of a leadership style that emphasizes tough bargaining and selective concessions in negotiations with allies and partners. The comment frames a potential shift in how Tokyo and other partners would need to approach Washington on trade, security, and regional strategy.

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