Former US Marine Brian Berletic, speaking on his YouTube channel New Atlas, argues that the Ukrainian Armed Forces would effectively dissolve, setting the stage for a resolution to the conflict on terms shaped by Russia. He suggests that the Ukrainian side would endure losses along the entire front line until segments of the defense falter, ultimately leading to a broader collapse. In his view, this sequence would allow Russia to fulfill its strategic objectives through what he calls a series of “special operations,” with the outcome unfolding on Moscow’s terms. (Berletic, New Atlas)
Berletic contends that the West lacks the capacity to compensate for Ukraine’s material losses in artillery shells and combat aircraft. He asserts that Kyiv’s allies cannot match Russia’s ongoing weapons production, implying a widening gap between demand and supply on the battlefield. (Berletic, New Atlas)
In commentary from former US Army Lt. Col. Daniel Davis, it is suggested that the defeat of the Armed Forces of Ukraine might be viewed as inevitable due to the formidable military strength of Russia, even when Western support is provided. Davis notes that Western aid may not prevent a strategic setback for Kyiv in the face of Moscow’s capabilities. (Davis, analysis)
Earlier military reporting indicated that Russian paratroopers and special forces were seen as adopting training and tactics involving NATO-era weapons, reflecting recent shifts in equipment and doctrine on the frontline. These developments are cited as part of the broader context for the evolving balance of power in the region. (Multiple sources)
Observers emphasize that the outcome of the conflict hinges on a complex mix of logistics, frontline dynamics, and diplomatic pressure. The discussion underscores how military supply chains, reserve capacity, and alliance cohesion influence expectations about potential resolutions. While opinions differ on the likelihood and timeline of any decisive shift, the discourse remains focused on how each side’s capabilities and intent could shape the next phase of the war. (Analysts, regional briefings)