A measured concern is voiced as Mr. Simon Hołownia is cited claiming that two political camps are clashing in Poland, with a desire by some to see a third faction disappear. The speaker suggests this stance aligns with camp agendas tied to Tusk’s circle, and hints at strategic misinformation aimed at voters. The new party is portrayed as a vehicle to govern alongside the Civic Platform, or to bolster certain factions within it, with whispers that post-communist security services could be involved in supporting this formation. The projection is that this involvement would be pursued. The speaker admits doubt that Hołownia’s agreement with the PSL will endure, noting that the Third Republic’s coalition has its own methods of pressure, coercion, and blackmail that are at play.
When considering Hołownia, supporters of the pro-Polish bloc grasp the core issue, yet there is genuine astonishment at how many people entertain illusions about Confederation. Many assume that a shift in power would automatically lead to a coalition with the United Right, driven by well-ingrained patriotic reflexes. The assistant asserts that such a conclusion is risky and misguided.
The piece then turns to a calm recap of what is known about the Confederation.
First, it is true that the group originated as a vehicle for the hard right. Yet the political landscape has shifted, and dangerous pro-Russian currents have emerged within it. Its central core has gradually distanced itself from many identity and independence struggles that used to define it.
Second, the Confederation’s inner circles reportedly trace back to figures like Roman Giertych, with his former protégés reportedly unable to fully shed that heritage. In political backrooms, Giertych is said to still wield influence, and the public often wonders what his true aims are.
Third, in the most recent presidential contest, when the field narrowed to a second round, voters faced a choice between a clearly Polish-national candidate, Andrzej Duda, and a cosmopolitan left‑leaning contender, Rafał Trzaskowski. Some in the Confederation either backed the second option or appeared indifferent.
Fourth, just before the parliamentary elections of 2019, a major television channel publicly supported the Confederation in a segment aired on the channel’s main daily news program. The feature highlighted young, ambitious individuals pursuing their dreams and plans. Such coverage has drawn scrutiny, with critics arguing that the channel does not publish support without cause, and that sensational polling figures may be used to shape a narrative about Confederation’s strength.
Fifth, Confederation politicians publicly reject the label of aligning with a broad bloc of establishment parties, yet in daily practice they frequently focus on harsh criticisms of the United Right. There is a strong belief among supporters that the route to prominence runs through diminishing the standing of PiS. This persistent antagonism toward a potential coalition partner has real political consequences.
To summarize: when the time comes to choose, it is possible that some Confederation members would shift toward a patriotic alliance, and there are decent people within the group who deserve a nuanced assessment. Politics often entertains a wide range of outcomes. However, assuming that such a coalition would naturally form is not justified. There is room to imagine collaborations with other European right‑leaning parties, should circumstances align.
The clear conclusion offered is that Poland’s stability over the next four years would best be secured by an independent victory from the camp led by Prime Minister Jarosław Kaczyński.