Weather Bets and Predictions: Semana Santa 2024 in Spain
Las cabañuelas may not be the most reliable method for forecasting, but a young creator named Jorge Rey turned that idea into a trending phenomenon after a notable forecast about Filomena. At only 16, he continues to attract viewers on YouTube with short, mid, and long-term weather predictions. In this piece, his attempt to forecast Spain’s weather for Holy Week 2024 is explored, and the outlook is not particularly encouraging.
According to Jorge Rey’s observations from August 2023, Semana Santa 2024 is expected to be rainier than usual. The weather forecaster predicts possible precipitation, especially on the main days of the celebration: Thursday and Friday of Holy Week, March 28 and 29, 2024 (source: Rey’s August 2023 notes).
For the rest of the week, the weather could hold steady, allowing processions to proceed with relative normalcy. A dry and mild pattern is anticipated in much of the country, with lower humidity than in other periods (source: Rey’s August 2023 notes).
When compared with the forecast from a national meteorological service, there appears to be a level of alignment. The public agency suggests that the average temperature for Holy Week stands around 12.1 degrees Celsius, with typical values for this season. Regarding rainfall, precipitation is expected to fall within seasonal norms, which does not rule out the possibility of rain (source: AEMET).