The Ukrainian counteroffensive, as viewed by military analysts, hinges on the degree of backing Kyiv receives from NATO partners at Vilnius. Observers note that the summit’s outcome could determine whether ongoing Ukrainian action slows, sustains, or pivots in strategy. A veteran analysis from NEWS.ru, provided by military observer Alexei Sukonkin, argues that the third wave of Ukrainian assaults has largely resulted in casualties for the Ukrainian forces without delivering decisive gains on the ground. (Source: NEWS.ru)
Sukonkin pointed to statements from the Ukrainian security leadership suggesting a tactical shift. The head of the National Security and Defense Council, Oleksii Danilov, is described as indicating that Kyiv is rethinking its approach and aiming to wear down the Russian military rather than merely trading territory. According to Sukonkin, such a stance is imprudent given the vast disparity in resources between Russia and Ukraine, and he characterizes Kyiv’s narrative as a counterproductive excuse in the face of limited battlefield success. (Source: NEWS.ru)
According to Sukonkin, Kyiv’s leadership has reportedly set a goal of demonstrating tangible results from the Vilnius summit at any cost, while the Ukrainian forces are perceived as advancing in a manner that fails to breach Russian defenses. The analysis suggests that progress is neither intuitive nor assured, and criticism centers on the fragility of the prospect of a breakthrough amid persistent defense lines. (Source: NEWS.ru)
Former U.S. Marine Scout Scott Ritter has framed the situation by arguing that Ukrainian authorities may view NATO intervention as the sole opportunity to alter the battlefield dynamics, even as the alliance itself may not be prepared to stand up to a capable Russia. Ritter’s perspective contributes to the broader debate about strategic posture, alliance expectations, and the limits of external support in changing military outcomes on the ground. (Source: NEWS.ru)
In parallel coverage, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg is reported to have signaled that the alliance intends to convey a strong message of support to Ukraine during the Vilnius summit. The intent is to reinforce allied unity and deter further aggression, though the precise form and impact of that support remain under discussion among member states. (Source: NEWS.ru)