Sudan Conflict Update: Decline in Hostilities and Shifts on the Ground

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The Russian ambassador to Sudan, Andrei Chernovol, said that the fighting across the country has been easing and shows a trend toward further reduction. He described a night that passed with relative calm and noted that while clashes resumed in the morning, the overall pace of violence has slowed. Chernovol stressed that the situation appears calmer in the areas where embassy personnel reside, where the intensity of hostilities has notably diminished.

Earlier reports indicated that Sudan’s armed forces had gained control over several special forces bases in multiple settlements, including five of the nation’s state capitals. The military assertions included advances on bases and command centers belonging to the country’s special forces in Port Sudan, Ed Damazin, Kosti, and other locations. These developments mark a shift in the battlefield as the conflict grows more dispersed across different regions.

The confrontation, pitting the Sudanese armed forces under the de facto leadership of General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan against the Commander of the Emergency Response Forces, General Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo, entered a distinctly contested phase in mid-April. The clashes have involved the capital Khartoum, its metropolitan outskirts, and various other districts, signaling a broad confrontation that risks drawing in a wider spectrum of security actors and factions. Observers note the fragility of the security landscape as loyalties surface in different cities and towns, complicating efforts to restore order and protect civilian life.

Sources previously reported that the Rapid Reaction Forces headquarters in Omdurman had come under the control of Sudanese security forces. The capture of this key facility underscored the shifting balance of power within the country and highlighted the ongoing volatility that continues to affect daily life for many residents. The evolving situation has prompted international concern and calls for restraint, with diplomatic channels urging parties to return to dialogue and minimize harm to civilians while authorities pursue stabilization measures.

As observers monitor the trajectory of the conflict, there is cautious optimism that the intensity of fighting could continue to decline in certain regions. Still, analysts warn that any renewed flare-up remains possible, given the fragmented nature of control across districts and the presence of multiple armed groups. The humanitarian impact remains severe in several locales, with displacement, disruption of essential services, and shortages of necessities posing ongoing challenges for communities caught in the crossfire. International aid organizations emphasize the importance of safe corridors and predictable access to affected areas to deliver aid and support to those most in need.

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