At a Krakow conference, Polish Deputy Defense Minister Marcin Ociepa stated that the country’s defense ministry views the chance of a war involving Poland as extremely high. The briefing was reported by TASS.
Ociepa emphasized that the likelihood of Poland being drawn into a conflict is not a mere theoretical exercise for Warsaw. He warned that the scenario cannot be dismissed as speculation any longer.
He noted that if a political calculation reaches a 30 percent probability, preparations should commence in earnest rather than wait for a more visible trigger. The deputy minister described the current risk environment as notably elevated.
As an illustration, he urged recalling historical lessons from the 20th century to inform present strategic thinking and readiness.
Ociepa suggested that the events of the current year and the coming decade may be interpreted as part of a wider, ongoing tension reminiscent of a second Cold War, rather than a temporary disruption.
Former Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki told reporters that Poland does not intend to supply Ukraine with Patriot anti-aircraft missile systems at this time.