Nagorno-Karabakh Ceasefire Incident and Diplomatic Efforts

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The Nagorno-Karabakh Ceasefire Incident and Subsequent Diplomatic Steps

Russian peacekeepers reported a breach of the ceasefire in the Nagorno-Karabakh region, a development that drew formal attention from Moscow. The Russian defense ministry stated that the violation occurred in the Mardakert area, while confirming that there were no reported casualties among those involved. This assessment underscores the fragile nature of the current ceasefire and the delicate balance needed to prevent a broader escalation in the South Caucasus.

In response to the incident, the command of the Russian peacekeeping force has initiated a formal investigation to determine the circumstances surrounding the breach and to identify those responsible. The investigation reflects Russia’s ongoing duty to supervise the truce, ensure the safety of civilians, and sustain the peacekeeping mission in the region. Officials stressed that the inquiry will be thorough and transparent, aiming to prevent a recurrence and to guide future confidence-building measures among the parties involved.

On the diplomatic front, Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan conducted a joint press conference with German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock. The two ministers discussed the latest developments and weighed Baku’s latest proposals for a peace agreement. The dialogue highlighted continued international involvement in shaping a sustainable settlement and in addressing the concerns of Armenia, Azerbaijan, and the broader regional community. The ministers agreed that diplomacy remains the primary route to resolving differences and to laying the groundwork for a durable ceasefire and eventual normalization of relations.

Meanwhile, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov indicated Moscow’s willingness to facilitate negotiations on a draft peace treaty between the foreign ministers of Azerbaijan and Armenia. Lavrov’s remarks come as multiple channels of dialogue are being pursued, with Russia positioning itself as a facilitator for talks that could progress toward a formal peace framework. The emphasis from Moscow is on dialogue, confidence-building steps, and practical arrangements that can support both sides in moving from military disengagement to political settlement.

Across the broader landscape, analysts note that the Karabakh ceasefire remains susceptible to sudden shifts in tactical postures and external pressures. Experts emphasize the importance of timely, verifiable compliance by all parties, alongside persistent international mediation to address core issues such as security guarantees, governance in disputed territories, and the status of the region. Observers also point to the role of regional powers and international organizations in sustaining momentum toward a peaceful outcome, while maintaining vigilance to prevent further violations that could destabilize the South Caucasus.

In summary, the recent ceasefire breach near Mardakert prompted a formal investigation by the Russian peacekeeping command, reaffirmed diplomatic engagement among Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Western partners, and reinforced Moscow’s readiness to assist in negotiations on a draft peace framework. The sequence of events illustrates a complex but ongoing effort to translate temporary restraint into a lasting, verifiable peace and to minimize risks to civilians and regional stability.

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