In Brazil, voters in the presidential race show Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva clearly ahead of Jair Bolsonaro in the first round, with Lula projected to reach up to 46 percent in October. The latest findings from the polling firm Ipec place Bolsonaro at about 31 percent, reflecting a widening gap between the two contenders.
The fresh poll indicates Lula has strengthened his lead compared with the previous week, when Lula stood at 44 percent and Bolsonaro at 31 percent. The shift suggests Lula has gained momentum while Bolsonaro’s position remains steady in the low 30s.
Reports cited by O Globo corroborate Lula’s support climbing by roughly two percentage points, yielding a 15-point advantage over Bolsonaro from the prior week. In a broader view, the data show Lula at 53 percent in a potential second round, while Bolsonaro sits at 36 percent, signaling Lula’s stronger backing in a hypothetical runoff.
The gap between the two candidates widened slightly from 16 to 17 points when comparing the latest figures with last week’s results, where Lula had 52 percent and Bolsonaro 36 percent in the same scenario.
In the first round, the field includes former minister Ciro Gomes of the Democratic Labor Party (PDT) at about 7 percent and Senator Simone Tebet of the Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB-MS) at around 4 percent, rounding out the top tier of contenders in this snapshot.
The Ipec study surveyed 2,512 Brazilians between September 9 and 11, with a two-point margin of error and a 95 percent confidence level. The figures offer a snapshot of current voter sentiment and potential implications for October’s voting landscape, including how a runoff could unfold if no candidate secures an outright majority in the first round.
Analysts emphasize that first-round results often shape strategies for runoff scenarios, where campaign dynamics, coalition building, and regional variations can shift outcomes. Observers note that while Lula leads in this poll, the margin remains vulnerable, and voter preferences can evolve as campaigns intensify in the closing weeks before voting day.
Overall, the poll shows a competitive race with Lula maintaining a clear lead in head-to-head scenarios, while Bolsonaro and the other candidates continue to vie for second-round positioning. The dispersion of support across regions, demographics, and issue priorities will likely influence the trajectory of the election as October approaches, making ongoing polling and public opinion tracking essential for understanding the evolving political climate in Brazil.
Source notes: The numbers come from Ipec’s latest release, reflecting responses gathered from a representative sample of the Brazilian electorate and adjusted for known demographic factors. (Ipec)
Related posts:
White Gaming Chair With Footrest The goalscorers of Lionel Scaloni’s cycle in the Argentina national team Brazil 2024 Presidential Race: Polls, Stakes, and the Runoff Dynamics Brazilian Election Dynamics: Lula, Bolsonaro, and the Move Toward 2022-23 Center-Right Coalitions Bolsonaro Returns to Brazil: Security, Strategy, and Legal Scrutiny in the 2026 Countdown Generative Engine Optimization (GEO): The Future of SEO is Here Crisis Deepens Between Israel and Brazil Over Gaza Statements and Diplomatic Moves Brazil’s Presidential Race Heats Up as October Vote Approaches Bolsonaro vs Lula: Brazil’s Election Ahead and the Stakes for the Nation Grok and the New Era of Transparent AI Development Brazil’s pivotal presidential election tests Lula and Bolsonaro Lula and Alckmin Unite: A Strategic Pivot in Brazil’s 2022 Political Landscape