In key battleground states, Kamala Harris leads briefly over Donald Trump, signaling shifts in voter sentiment
In the latest digital survey conducted across seven pivotal states, Vice President Kamala Harris, the prominent Democratic candidate for the presidency, holds a lead over former President Donald Trump in several important markets. The data points to Harris enjoying higher support during the surveyed period, highlighting how campaign dynamics can tilt in regions that are often decisive in national elections. [Source: Morning Consult]
Harris shows a broader margin over Trump in Michigan, where support stands at 53 percent for Harris versus 42 percent for Trump. The gap appears smaller in Arizona, Nevada, and Wisconsin, while in Pennsylvania and North Carolina Trump edges Harris, and Georgia registers a tie between the two candidates. This snapshot underscores the uneven terrain of voter preferences across the country and the region-specific factors that shape these trends. [Source: Morning Consult]
The survey, conducted digitally from July 24 to July 28 among nearly 5,000 registered voters in the seven states, was chosen because these states are considered highly influential due to comparable levels of support for each party’s nominees. The nationwide landscape can hinge on how these local dynamics evolve in the weeks ahead. [Source: Morning Consult]
According to Morning Consult, Harris’s stronger performance in Michigan emerges alongside growing appeal among groups where Biden had previously struggled, including younger voters, registered Democrats, and independents. These improvements appear to be reflected beyond the state line, signaling a potential broadening of Harris’s base that could affect the electoral map in this critical set of states. [Source: Morning Consult]
The survey notes that 46 percent of respondents view Harris favorably, up five percentage points from the prior survey when Biden was still a presidential candidate, while unfavorable views declined by three points, reaching 50 percent. The shifts in perception help explain why Harris has been attracting more donors and volunteers as the campaign unfolds. [Source: Morning Consult]
Following Biden’s decision to step back from seeking re-election on July 21 and to back Harris for November, a rising fervor around the vice president has translated into substantial fundraising and volunteer engagement. Earlier last week, a national poll from a major newspaper and a college research center indicated Harris was narrowing the gap with Trump to a single point in favor of the Republican contender. In that national snapshot, Trump led Harris by one percentage point, while previous readings had shown a larger gap in Trump’s favor. [Source: Morning Consult]
These local and national movements illustrate the volatility and momentum that can influence the late-stage trajectory of a presidential race. As the campaign continues to mobilize supporters and expand outreach efforts, analysts will be watching how these seven states respond to policy proposals, debate performances, and ground games that seek to convert momentum into actual votes come Election Day. [Source: Morning Consult]