July is shaping up as a notably warm month, with forecasts pointing to above-average temperatures and more sunshine across much of the period. The weather center Phobos, cited by RIA Novosti, indicates that daily highs will often push toward the upper twenties, and on several days the air could clear the 30-degree mark in parts of the country. The outlook comes from Yevgeny Tishkovets, a leading expert at Phobos, who emphasizes that the first half of July may lay the groundwork for a distinctly warm summer profile.
Looking at the broader picture, the expected average air temperature for July is projected to exceed long-term norms by about 1.5 to 2 degrees. In practical terms, nights are likely to be mild, with temperatures lingering around 13 to 18 degrees, while daytime warmth may lift the air to a range of 23 to 28 degrees, depending on daily weather conditions. The forecast underscores a progression toward heat, particularly as the month advances.
In terms of the overall heat distribution, Tishkovets notes that the most pronounced warmth will be experienced in the second half of July. On certain days, thermometers could reveal 30 degrees, marking some of the hottest intervals of the year so far. This pattern aligns with a broader trend toward drier and sunnier conditions for much of Central Russia during the middle of summer.
Humidity trends for July are also highlighted. Central Russia is expected to encounter a humidity deficit around 20 percent, signaling drier air across much of the region. For Moscow, the forecast points to a total precipitation amount around 84 millimeters for the month, a figure that sits within typical summer variability but on the drier side for some periods. The color palette of temperature and rainfall anomalies on long-range maps often appears reminiscent of carrot tones, a playful analogy used by Tishkovets to describe the visual pattern of the forecast. The comment was shared during a broadcast on Moscow 24.
Additionally, June is projected to finish slightly cooler in Moscow, by about half a degree, accompanied by a similar tendency toward reduced rainfall, with an estimated 10 percent precipitation shortfall across the month. The weather outlook at the end of June suggested that late June would bring another shift toward wetter conditions briefly, followed by a gradual cooldown and stabilization in early July. This sequence helps frame the expected conditions for the start of July as a bridge to the hotter second half of the month.
Experts also discussed the immediate short-term pattern. Earlier statements from Alexander Shuvalov, head of the Meteo center, indicated that Moscow would experience about 10 percent of its monthly precipitation on Friday, June 30. The forecast warned that rain would continue through Saturday, July 1, before a drying trend set in from July 2 onward. When the rain subsides, the city is anticipated to see a return to clearer skies and daytime highs near 25 degrees, signaling a brief but noticeable shift in weather before the more sustained heat takes hold in the latter part of July. This sequence mirrors the general July expectation of alternating periods of precipitation and sunshine, with a tilt toward warmer afternoons as the month progresses. Some days will still bring scattered showers, but the prevailing pattern points to more prolonged dry spells as the month advances.