Forecast: A notably cold December Across Central and Western Russia

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In a briefing with Roman Vilfand, the Scientific Director of the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, it was shared that Ryazan, Yaroslavl, and several neighboring areas are likely to experience a notably cold December. The forecast points to colder-than-average conditions spreading across many parts of the nation, signaling a significant temperature shift as winter approaches. These insights come from ongoing seasonal monitoring and connect with broader climate patterns observed in recent years.

The projection indicates that the average monthly temperature will fall below the long-term norm across nearly all of the Central Federal District, including Moscow, Tver, Yaroslavl, Ivanovo, Vladimir, Ryazan, and Tambov regions. Kursk and Bryansk appear as the only exceptions where the normal winter metrics may be closer to historical averages. This enhances the need for residents and authorities to prepare for potential heating demands, transportation adjustments, and public safety planning.

Similar cold trends are anticipated in the Volga Federal District, where analysts expect stretches of unusually low temperatures to extend through several days each week. In the Ural region, the southern and central areas—specifically Sverdlovsk, Chelyabinsk, and Kurgan—are forecast to experience colder conditions than normal for the season, contributing to broader winter readiness considerations for communities and infrastructure.

Forecasts also indicate that the southwest part of the Siberian Federal District could see temperatures lingering below average, reinforcing a pattern of persistent chill across a wide swath of the country. While temperatures dip, the overall result is a longer period of typical winter hazards, including higher energy use and the need for contingency planning in rural and urban zones alike.

In terms of precipitation, several regions are expected to receive less moisture than is typical for this time of year. The southeast portion of the Central Federal District, along with Tambov, Voronezh, Lipetsk, and the entire Volga region, are projected to be drier than usual. Alongside the cooler temperatures, this combination suggests fewer snow events in the southern areas, which could influence road conditions and agricultural scheduling.

There is a historical note accompanying these forecasts: the night of November 30 was recorded as the coldest night of the season so far in Moscow, when thermometers dropped to around -12°C. This late-autumn cold spike underlines the variability of early winter conditions and the importance of preparedness across the capital and surrounding districts.

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