October often brings the most rain to many areas, with showers that help balance monthly totals even during dry spells.
After a stretch of lingering autumn warmth since late September, a real autumn week is underway. Temperatures fall, and forecasts call for plentiful rain, with heavy downpours expected in certain regions. Expect moments of strong winds as storms push across from the west toward the Mediterranean.
We are entering a full autumn week. October, traditionally one of the rainiest months in many communities, can deliver a substantial portion of its monthly total in a short period. This shift is driven by a storm train feeding an atmospheric river, a pattern cited by weather observers as it unfolds over the coming days.
— Weather networks and meteorologists have noted the pattern as it develops, highlighting the surge of moisture into the region.
Winds will predominantly come from the west and southwest. Rainfall will be concentrated in the western half of the peninsula, with occasional reaches toward the Mediterranean coast.
This is what the weather will be like this week
For the detailed outlook, the week begins with a system named Babette approaching Galicia, bringing rains to the northwest. The heaviest rainfall is forecast on Tuesday along the Atlantic coast, with that moisture gradually moving toward the central areas and not reaching the eastern regions.
It will rain in the western half of the peninsula.
Winds from the southwest could trigger significant rainfall in select spots, notably north of Cáceres and west of Andalusia. By midweek, showers are expected to push east across the peninsula, with the pattern continuing into Thursday.
Rains coming on Thursday
Thursday looks to be the most unsettled day, with the potential for heavy rain inland. This instability may spread to the Canary Islands before moving to the Balearic Islands. Rain is likely to persist on Friday, especially across northern regions.
Two women in the rain.
Although certainty fades days in advance, the likelihood remains that rainfall will continue toward the weekend and into the early next week, though with reduced intensity.
The strongest rainfall totals this week are expected to accumulate in the western areas, including Galicia and the central system regions. Temperatures are projected to fall gradually after a period of warmth. Winds will remain intense, particularly along the northwest coast, with sea storm advisories issued for Galicia on Tuesday. The fronts moving toward the Mediterranean may intensify wind effects in coastal zones.