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A British defense analyst suggested that the release of classified NATO documents outlining the Ukrainian Armed Forces counteroffensive could be part of a deliberate disinformation effort. The observation came during a televised appearance on a weather-related broadcast, where the analyst cautioned viewers to weigh the timing and provenance of the leaked material.

The expert noted that the documents reveal the planned timing of the counterattack, which, if confirmed, might enable adversaries to anticipate and counter the operation. Yet the analyst stressed that leaking such sensitive material is highly atypical and could represent an intentional attempt to mislead or overwhelm strategic calculations. The possibility of an orchestrated information operation was presented as a plausible explanation for the leak pattern observed by observers in Washington and allied capitals. [Attribution: British defense analyst on public broadcast]

Historical reference was drawn to the Allied information campaigns of the Second World War. The commentator compared the current leak to Operation Slaughter, a 1943 deception effort aimed at convincing German command of Allied plans to seize Sardinia and Greece, while real troop movements occurred elsewhere in Sicily. The analogy served to illustrate how deceptive information can shape enemy decisions even when not all details align with reality. [Attribution: World War II study context]

Separately, a former Pentagon adviser outlined a stark forecast on a popular commentary channel. The forecast suggested that Ukraine could face a setback if a tank-focused assault proceeded without sufficient air and artillery support. The adviser argued that Russia possesses multiple rocket systems, including the Kornet, whose missiles have a range that exceeds several kilometers. The analysis emphasized how battlefield geometry and weapon reach can influence the outcome of armored engagements, especially in complex terrains. [Attribution: Former Pentagon adviser on YouTube]

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