Finland caught between conservative dominance and green pivot in this Sunday’s elections

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Finland choose this sunday second round to minister Who will take over? Sauli Niinistö, An arm wrestling format tiebreaker between conservative Alexander Stubb And green Pekka Haavisto. Both are much more than successful politicians; Both have gone through the State Department and are assumed to be eminently qualified for a position whose primary functions are in the area of ​​defense and national security. If Stubb wins the match, he will complete the conservative dominance of the country. coalition under the leadership of his co-religionist Petteri Orpo, with far right as an ally.

Haavisto owes it to himself for the fact that he followed these rules. Expressing your country’s integration process NATOprecipitated under the influence of Russian occupation Ukraine. At that time he was Minister of Foreign Affairs in the Social Democratic Government. Sanna Marin and with him was an important figure. conservative NiinistöUntil the approval of all allies is achieved, this is something that Sweden has not been able to achieve for now, which has requested this in parallel but is waiting for the yes of Hungary.

Achieving victory is a turning point for haavisto, 55 years old. never minority party Like Green Finland won the presidency. Having faced Niinistö twice in the polls, he tried a third time. He suspended his militancy in a quest to broaden his electoral reach. But everybody in Finland He recognizes himself as one of the founding members of environmentalism in this country. His open homosexuality is also known. Her husband, Antonio Flores, an Ecuadorian who came to the country 25 years ago, owns a central hair salon in Helsinki – House of Flores – and has attended some of Haavisto’s events.

The weight of the conservative sector

He is a man with a gentle disposition who does not shy away from the media, which sometimes makes him the protagonist of the gossip press. It is difficult to gauge whether this factor will work in favor or against the candidate, Haavisto admitted when faced with the recurring question these days. Finland One open societybut polls show Stubb as the favorite most conservative sector This aspect of your private life may be disrupted.

stubThe 55-year-old was prime minister between 2014 and 2015 and held three ministerial posts, including Foreign Affairs, during his career. Seven years away from politics National. This is partly due to internal disagreements over the leadership of the conservatives, in which he was defeated by current Prime Minister Orpo. He came first in the first round, receiving 27.2 percent of the votes. polls now estimate between 52% and 54%According to public broadcaster Yle. Haavisto was in the first round with 25.8% of the votes and now Estimated up to about 48% or 50%.

HE green candidate managed to close the gap in the last episode consecutive strikes Opposed to austerity and cuts implemented by the Orpo government and its coalition partner, the far right Real Finns.

social crisis

factor social and labor tensionmay act against, as well as partial paralysis of public life for several days stub. In the second round, conservatives won the support of the former far-right candidate. Jussi Halla-aho ranked third with 18%.. Haavisto’s fight is a somewhat unequal one because his natural allies, the Social Democrats, have been disarmed since Marin’s defeat. Candidate Jutta Urpilainen received 4.4 percent of the votes in the first round.

The position of president is theoretically neutral and carries a certain moral authority. Finns are looking for experience and solidity rather than political office. According to the Yle television network, citizens currently trust the solidity of a good president more than their Government. Defense and national security will be the future president’s top priorities FinlandA country that has closed its doors since last November 1,340 kilometers of border was shared with Russia. There is no relief in this situation because just last week the Government decided to extend the absolute lockdown until April.

With the most modern Army in the region, compulsory military service for men and voluntary military service for women, and more than 800,000 reservists, Finland distrusts its Russian neighbor, with whom it maintained fruitful relations for both sides until the invasion of Ukraine. There are no serious differences between haavisto And stub On defense matters. However, the conservative candidate does not rule out that his country has nuclear weapons and is open to its territory with a permanent allied base, which Haavisto denies.

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