the third edition of the Benidorm Festival is almost upon us. with the buzz building every hour, betting markets are already showing clear favorites for the final on saturday, february 3. punters and fans alike are watching the odds tighten as the event approaches, turning the competition into a high-stakes preview of europe’s summer of music and spectacle. the stakes are higher this year, and bettors are looking for every edge as they weigh the different acts and their chances on the big night.
according to eurovision world, a widely consulted source for preselection data and betting movements, there is a noticeable concentration of support around the entries that have already distinguished themselves in rehearsals, teasers, and live showcases. the standout favorite in the spain’s eurovision preselection is st.pedro, performing the song two strangers, who sits at the top of the market with about a one-in-five chance of victory. the confidence here reflects both the song’s catchy chorus and the artist’s proven track record in national selections, which typically translates into strong televote appeal when the final airs in a few weeks.
in close pursuit is sofía coll with staying here, currently priced around 20 percent in the same betting framework. sofía coll has built momentum through a distinctive vocal approach and a performance style that resonates with juries and viewers alike, which often translates into a reliable slice of the televote and juried support on a big night.
the list of top contenders also includes brillos platino with almácor at about 16 percent, and i know who i am with angy fernández at roughly 12 percent. these entries are sometimes described as the more dynamic, edgier options in the lineup, featuring bold staging ideas and memorable hooks that could translate into lasting impressions with both national audiences and international viewers who follow the festival closely. other strong candidates such as zorra by nebulossa, remitente by maria pelaé, me vas by mantra let’s see, and juries favorite caliente by jorge gonzález occupy mid-pack positions, generally ranging from three to nine percent of the predicted vote. fans should expect some fluctuations, as live performances in benidorm can shift perceptions in real time and influence betting movements as rehearsals progress.
reinforcing the field, entries like astronauta by lérica and summer love by marlena round out the top ten in many paid-odds listings, each hovering around the two to three percent level. the spread among these acts highlights the diversity of styles in the lineup, from pop pyrotechnics to more intimate ballad sensibilities, all designed to appeal to different segments of the audience and the juries who weigh the final rankings. the betting markets are dynamic, with a good portion of the activity centering on how these acts perform in the semi-final rounds and how memorable their choruses become after the first few live performances.
other entries such as morning kiss by dellacruz, bla bla bla by miss caffeína, no se don’t forget me by yoly saa, te echo de by noan, prisonero by quique niza, and el temps by roger padrós are also in the mix, though they sit behind the leaders in most paid-bet rankings. while these acts may not currently be favored to win, they remain important because a spectacular live moment or a surprising staging twist could propel them into the top tier on night one. bettors often monitor these positions closely, watching for late movement that signals a shift in public sentiment as the event draws nearer.
looking beyond the local scene, the wider eurovision odds often reflect a blend of national sentiment and international curiosity. as of now, spain sits lower on the global stage for the final contest, with a modest probability attached to a win in the europe-wide competition. the landscape shows other nations leading the way, with iceland, ukraine, and the united kingdom frequently ranked at the top of global betting markets. this broader context is important for fans who follow how national selections influence opinions across europe, and it explains why a strong national result at benidorm can generate enthusiasm for a potential eurovision finalist from spain.
as the benidorm final draws near, analysts and fans alike emphasize the importance of stage presence, vocal clarity, and the ability to deliver a memorable moment under the arena lights. the producers, choreographers, and the artists themselves understand that the winning formula typically blends a strong lyric hook with a performance that can translate across audiences and languages. with this in mind, the market will continue to react to every rehearsal detail, every snippet released on social media, and every preview clip that surfaces. the ultimate outcome will hinge on how convincingly each entry can connect with viewers and judges on a single, decisive night.
for those following the process closely, it is worth noting that the real effect of the betting markets goes beyond predicting a winner. they provide a gauge of which entries are resonating, which moments are shaping perception, and how the competition as a whole is evolving. fans can enjoy watching the favorites rise and fall as the event approaches, while still appreciating the breadth of talent competing for the national ticket to europe’s biggest song contest. as always, the final result will be written on the night of the show, when a performance, an audience reaction, and perhaps a surprise twist together determine the next eurovision chapter. source: eurovision world, contemporary preselection data and odds.