Benidorm Festival 2024: Betting Odds and National Favorites in Focus
The third edition of the Benidorm Festival is nearing its decisive moment, and betting markets are buzzing as they price the contenders for the title. With the final set to unfold this Saturday, paid bookmaker sites in Spain and beyond are sharpening their odds as fans and followers alike tune in to see which act could seal victory in this highly watched TVE music competition.
What do the latest betting patterns suggest about the frontrunners for the final victory in the Spanish qualifying round? According to Eurovision World, which compiles the available betting installments across major bookmakers, St. Pedro, performing the track Two Strangers, stands as the favorite. The odds place them at roughly a 50% probability of winning, a lead that keeps them in clear sight of the field and makes them the standout pick for many bettors looking for a strong, risk-adjusted punt as the event approaches.
Trailing closely is Neublossa, who appeared as the winner of the first semi-final in Spain’s Eurovision 2024 journey, holding about a 16% shot at clinching the Benidorm Fest crown. The gap between St. Pedro and Neublossa illustrates the tightness of the race and underscores how a single powerful performance could shift the balance on the night. The betting landscape paints a picture of a contest where margins matter and every note could swing the outcome.
Another set of artists rounding out the potential top eight in the paid bets rankings includes Jorge González with Caliente at around 9%, Almácor with Brillos Platino at 7%, Angy Fernández with I Know Who I Am at 6%, María Peláe with Remitente at 6%, Sofía Col, staying with Here at 5%, and Miss Caffeina with Bla Bla Bla at 2%. These figures illustrate a crowded field where each entry holds a distinct appeal—from experimental pop to catchy, radio-friendly hooks—giving fans a broad spectrum of styles to rally behind as the show approaches.
Even though it is still early and outcomes remain uncertain, the odds offer a snapshot of possible trajectories for Spain in the broader Eurovision Song Contest. Right now Spain is placed around 18th with about a 2% probability of securing the overall win in the competition. In the wider European betting market, Ukraine leads with roughly a 12% chance, followed by the United Kingdom at 9% and Iceland at 8%, all of which had not yet released their official entries at the time of the latest betting round. These percentages reflect not only the strength of the songs but also the evolving narratives surrounding the national selections and the broader Eurovision landscape that shape viewer expectations and betting behavior alike. [citation: Eurovision World betting odds] The dynamic reflects how national selections feed into a continental contest where song, performance, and timing all carry weight on the big night. [citation: Eurovision World]
The jury of bookmakers and the public alike keep a close watch on how rehearsal footage, stagecraft, and audience reaction translate into live appeal. In Benidorm, the pacing of performances, the emotional resonance of the lyrics, and the visual presentation all interact to influence where the odds tilt as the show progresses. Analysts caution that odds are a reflection of momentum as much as talent, and a late surge or a surprise entry can dramatically shift expectations. As fans anticipate the final, conversations around the competition often center on which act best captures the mood of the moment and which song has the strongest hook to win over casual viewers who tune in for an evening of entertainment. [citation: Eurovision World]
Market watchers also note that betting markets sometimes react to off-stage factors such as social media momentum, live performance feedback, and critical reception from early showings. While the explicit favorites may hold a comfortable lead, the race remains lively, with several acts positioned to capitalize on a standout performance on the night of the final. For supporters of each artist, the message is clear: every note counts, every gesture matters, and the outcome hinges on the combination of vocal precision, stage presence, and the ability to connect with a broad audience across Spain and beyond. [citation: Eurovision World]