Russia’s 2023 grain harvest and 2024 crop outlook: official update

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In 2023, Russia posted a grain harvest that ranked as the second-largest in its history, a figure reported by the Ministry of Agriculture of the Russian Federation. The initial data point confirms a record-setting year for grain production, underscoring the country’s significant agricultural capacity and supply potential for domestic use and export markets.

About the 2023 results, officials stated that the nation reached a historic grain output, with preliminary estimates around 143 million tons. When including newly incorporated territories, the total rises to roughly 147 million tons, reflecting a strong harvest year and the broader impact of expansion on agricultural metrics. This assessment comes from Russia’s agriculture leadership sharing the early indicators of the year’s performance.

For the 2024 season, winter crops have been planted across 20 million hectares, an increase of one million hectares compared with the previous year. Before winter, the crop condition remained favorable, with 96% of the crops classified as good or satisfactory, matching the prior year’s benchmarks. Earlier in the year, farmers purchased approximately 200 thousand tons of fertilizer, with the program progressing without notable delays.

Early in the year, official reports noted milk production expectations for 2023 at about 33.5 million tons, signaling sustained dairy sector performance and the agricultural sector’s broader output mix. This information reflects the ministry’s ongoing monitoring of livestock and crop sectors as they prepare for the next cycle.

Additionally, officials highlighted ongoing preparations for vegetable seed programs, signaling continued attention to seed quality and germination success for future planting campaigns. The ministry had previously issued a situation assessment that included considerations of price dynamics within the dairy and cheese sectors, helping to frame the market context for 2024. Across these notes, the overarching picture points to a resilient agricultural system adapting to both domestic needs and international trade conditions.

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