Our experts present the best predictions, odds and betting analysis for Real Madrid vs Granada in La Liga on 12/02/2023.
When the league leaders host the penultimate side, predicting the final result feels unnecessary, especially with Real Madrid enjoying a rare full week to recover from this fixture. Yet the match remains compelling to watch unfold and offers insights into the tactical dynamics and potential scorelines.
All odds courtesy of bet365, correct at time of publication and subject to change
Another party at the Bernabéu
Madrid aim for a smooth afternoon to extend their lead and clinch a fourth straight win, which would mark seventeenth victory in the first twenty fixtures of the campaign. Granada arrives after a 3-1 defeat in Vitoria and has dropped six of their seven league games, highlighting a fragile period on the road for the visitors.
To support a home win, bettors might consider Madrid to prevail at half-time and at full-time. This scenario has occurred in the last four matches and in nine of their ten most recent wins, underscoring Madrid’s second-half strength. Granada, meanwhile, have trailed at half-time in their last three away La Liga fixtures, each ending in a Nasrid setback, reinforcing the sense that Madrid could seize control after the break.
Another high-scoring outcome is plausible, given Real Madrid have tallied at least three goals in their previous four outings. Yet Granada sits among the lower half of the table in scoring but shows an ability to trouble defenses. The challenge for Alexander Medina’s side lies in their defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded eighteen goals across seven league matches.
A chance to show off
Carlo Ancelotti has managed rotation to offset a spate of injuries with apparent efficiency. While Luka Modrić and Kepa Arrizabalaga may soon return to their respective roles, Eduardo Camavinga, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Vinícius Jr. and Arda Güler remain unavailable, along with Thibaut Courtois and Éder Militao, opening opportunities for others to shine.
Among the players grabbing attention is Brahim Díaz. Despite seeing fewer minutes this season compared with many teammates, he already has two goals and an assist. He supplied the pass to Rodrygo for Madrid’s opener against Napoli earlier in the week and, in the previous Champions League match, found the net before the half-hour mark. This Saturday could see him assume a starring role again.
Expect second-half action to be decisive, as both Madrid and Granada tend to be more productive after the break. In La Liga this season, 67.7% of Real Madrid’s goals have come after halftime, while 68.4% of Granada’s goals have arrived after the break, suggesting an observed pattern of late-game momentum and opportunities.
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