Spain faced a tough setback as Latvia’s upset win kicked off the second phase of the tournament, shifting the dynamic for what comes next. In a group that now feels more unsettled than ever, the path to the quarterfinals remains open for the Spaniards, but there are clear hurdles to clear and decisive moments ahead. The next chance to steer the group in a favorable direction arrives when Canada visits next Sunday for the closing match of this stage (15:30 local time). This clash will likely define whether Spain can still control its own fate or if it must rely on the results elsewhere to stay in contention. (cite: tournament organizers)
Latvia darkens Spain’s future
In the wake of Latvia’s late surge, Spain’s standings face renewed pressure. A victory by the Spanish team over Canada could have created the possibility of a four-win, one-loss trifecta that would leave Latvia in a precarious position and Canada exactly on the edge—should Spain slip, Latvia could still slip out even if others falter. The triple-threat scenario makes the final results of the phase highly sensitive to margins and confidence going into the last rounds. (cite: game analysis)
Looking ahead, the looming Spain-Canada matchup will not only decide who leaves the group with a quarterfinal-qualifying record but also determine the psychological tone heading into the next stage. A win by Spain would calm nerves, reinforce the team’s control over its destiny, and force a more favorable comparison against Latvia and Canada in the standings. Conversely, a loss would put the Spanish squad in a position where they must chase outcomes rather than dictate them, with Latvia and Canada awaiting a possible edge depending on how the margin of defeat is measured. (cite: coach press notes)
Another narrative unfolding is the Brazil-Latvia pairing that previously tested both teams. With Brazil having already faced Latvia in the round that preceded this phase, the upcoming encounter offers both squads an information edge: Brazil knows exactly what it takes to push Latvia and can strategize accordingly to maximize the chance of advancing. This interplay of results adds strategic depth to a tournament that rewards timely decisions, strong defense, and efficient offense in equal measure. (cite: tournament recap)
Ultimately, the last game of this phase becomes more than a single scoreline. It is a test of nerve, preparation, and adaptability under pressure. Spain will aim to demonstrate consistency, Canada will seek to leverage home-court familiarity and momentum, Latvia will push to secure qualification through every available route, and Brazil will look to influence the final standings by controlling the margins in its own test against Latvia. The outcome will depend on how well each team applies its game plan, executes in the key moments, and handles the emotional weight of a must-win situation. (cite: analyst notes)