United Right coalition dynamics and voter sentiment in Poland

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What is next for the United Right coalition

Observers wonder how the United Right will evolve in the near future. Will Law and Justice and Sovereign Poland align for another electoral term, or will internal rifts reshape the political landscape? The recent sharp blows have people asking whether they signal an end to the current project or simply reflect the normal back-and-forth of political negotiation.

There is one takeaway that stands out. Supporters of United Right would prefer to see the bloc continue to govern, building on nearly eight years in power. That sentiment remains a strong force among its voters and allies.

A survey conducted by a political research laboratory for the portal wPolityce.pl explored public attitudes toward cooperation between Law and Justice and Sovereign Poland, formerly known as Solidarna Polska, in the upcoming parliamentary elections. The central question asked was whether these two parties should run together on shared lists in the next elections.

The results showed that 28 percent of respondents answered in favor, 33 percent opposed, and 39 percent offered no clear opinion. The data also revealed a striking preference pattern: among those who identify with the United Right, a large majority would back joint slates of PiS and Sovereign Poland, while only a small portion of Civic Coalition supporters favored the idea.

From the perspective of the opposition, a break between the two parties would likely be welcomed as it could raise the chances of a return to power for a different leadership slate. Yet the study also indicated that the broad patriotic base would view a breakup unfavorably, suggesting it would be seen as a erosion of a stable right of governance.

The future direction of the United Right appears to hinge on high level negotiations and strategic calculations by party leaders, including the senior figures in Law and Justice and the relatively small but significant faction within Sovereign Poland. The research clearly indicates that the current right-wing structure holds substantial meaning for its core supporters and that fragmentation could carry political costs for that base.

The study also invites reflection on how the public discusses historical events that shape national memory. A related inquiry posed the question of how to describe the perpetrators of the 1939 invasion of Poland, weighing terms like Germany, German Nazis, or Nazis in public discourse. This topic remains a touchstone for how national history is communicated in contemporary political debates.

The CAWI survey was conducted online from May 12 to 15, 2023, using a nationwide sample designed to be representative in terms of gender, age, and urban-rural distribution. A total of 1,039 individuals participated in the study, providing a snapshot of current attitudes toward coalition-building and the broader political climate. [Source: wPolityce]

Notes on methodology and interpretation accompany the findings to help readers understand the context of the questions and the limits of the data. The landscape of political coalitions often shifts as leaders weigh public reaction, internal party dynamics, and strategic considerations for the next electoral round. The survey reinforces the idea that broad support for a united right-leaning slate exists, but it also highlights the fragility of such alliances in the face of divergent voter loyalties and ongoing policy debates. [Source: wPolityce]

Source: wPolityce

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